Introduction: News from the Euro and Swiss zone. EUR/CHF is frequently chosen for carry trades which involves going long a high-yielding currency (EURO -
Introduction: News from the Euro and Swiss zone. EUR/CHF is frequently chosen for carry trades which involves going long a high-yielding currency (EURO – 3.50%) against a low-yielding one (CHF – 1.50%). Traders earn daily interest fees when holding this pair long (rollover fees).
Weekly Analysis and Recommendations:
The EUR/CHF closed the week at 1.2011 continued its private battle this week between the euro bears and the SNB with the 1.20 line in the sand it is not likely we will see any action. This week the pair hardly moved and had no correlation to world events.
Highest: 1.2076 |
Lowest: 1.2006 |
Difference: 0.0070 |
Average: 1.2013 |
Change %: -0.01 |
The pair did jump to an unexpected high midweek, which held for just a short time, after the SNB announced the possibility of some bank action and some banking fees. After the announcement the markets returned to their tight range.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Major Economic Events for the week of May 21-25 actual v. forecast for Euro, GPB, and the Franc
Currency |
|
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
GBP |
CPI y/y |
3.0% |
3.1% |
3.5% |
GBP |
Public Sector Net Borrowing |
-18.8B |
-8.5B |
14.6B |
GBP |
MPC Meeting Minutes |
0-0-9 |
0-0-9 |
0-0-9 |
GBP |
Retail Sales m/m |
-2.3% |
-0.8% |
2.0% |
EUR |
German Flash Manufacturing PMI |
45.0 |
47.1 |
46.2 |
EUR |
German Ifo Business Climate |
106.9 |
109.4 |
109.9 |
GBP |
Revised GDP q/q |
-0.3% |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
Historical:
Highest: 1.5193 CHF on 10 Oct 2009.
Average: 1.3271 CHF over this period.
Lowest: 1.0083 CHF on 9 Aug 2011.
Economic Highlights of the coming week that affect the Euro, GBP, CHF and the USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
|
Previous |
May 28 |
28th-31st |
GBP |
-0.2% |
|
May 29 |
All Day |
EUR |
0.2% |
|
14:00 |
USD |
69.2 |
||
May 30 |
7:00 |
CHF |
0.40 |
|
8:00 |
EUR |
3.2% |
||
8:30 |
GBP |
1.4B |
||
14:00 |
USD |
4.1% |
||
23:01 |
GBP |
-31 |
||
May 31 |
5:45 |
CHF |
0.1% |
|
31st-3rd |
EUR |
0.8% |
||
6:45 |
EUR |
-2.9% |
||
7:55 |
EUR |
19K |
||
9:00 |
EUR |
2.6% |
||
12:15 |
USD |
119K |
||
12:30 |
USD |
2.2% |
||
12:30 |
USD |
370K |
||
13:45 |
USD |
56.2 |
||
Jun 1 |
TBD |
GBP |
||
7:15 |
CHF |
4.2% |
||
7:30 |
CHF |
46.9 |
||
7:45 |
EUR |
43.8 |
||
8:30 |
GBP |
50.5 |
||
9:00 |
EUR |
10.9% |
||
12:30 |
USD |
115K |
||
12:30 |
USD |
8.1% |
||
12:30 |
USD |
0.0% |
||
12:30 |
USD |
0.2% |
||
12:30 |
USD |
0.3% |
||
14:00 |
USD |
54.8 |