Advertisement
Advertisement

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis September 25, 2012 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Jan 1, 2011, 00:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/GBP  declined today as the euro weakened againts its crosses to trade at 0.7971. The GBP hit its highest price in

EUR/GBP Fundamental Analysis September 25, 2012 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/GBP  declined today as the euro weakened againts its crosses to trade at 0.7971. The GBP hit its highest price in more than two weeks against the euro on a weaker-than-expected German sentiment survey and uncertainty over whether and when Spain will seek a bailout.

Speculators said the pound may also get a lift from farm subsidy payments due on Friday that the EU makes to the UK, with talk this could be as much as 3 billion euros, as well as from reported flows related to a dividend payment.

More losses could see it target the early September low of 78.87 pence.

The single currency came under selling pressure after a weaker-than-expected German Ifo sentiment survey raised concerns that the euro zone’s largest country may be struggling.

There were also worries about Spain and Greece, with Spanish Economy Minister Luis de Guindos saying on Saturday Spain will not rush to seek external aid and Greece yet to secure a deal on an austerity package with its international lenders.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data September 24, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

 

Currency

 

 

Event

Actual

 

Forecast

 

Previous

Sep. 24

 

JPY

 

 

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

HUF

 

 

Hungarian Retail Sales (YoY) 

-2.60%

 

-1.90% 

 

-1.70% 

 

 

EUR

 

 

German Ifo Business Climate Index 

101.4

 

102.5 

 

102.3 

 

 

EUR

 

 

German Current Assessment 

110.3

 

111.0 

 

111.1 

 

 

EUR

 

 

German Business Expectations 

93.2

 

95.0 

 

94.2 

 

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Sep. 25

07:00

EUR

GfK German Consumer Climate 

5.9

5.9

 

15:00

USD

CB Consumer Confidence 

62.0

60.6

Sep. 26

01:00

EUR

German CPI (MoM) 

-0.1%

0.4%

 

01:00

EUR

German CPI (YoY) 

2.0%

2.1%

 

11:00

GBP

CBI Distributive Trades Survey 

5

-3

Sep. 27 

08:55

EUR

German Unemployment Rate 

6.8%

6.8%

 

08:55

EUR

German Unemployment Change 

10K

9K

 

09:30

GBP

Current Account 

-12.4B

-11.2B

 

09:30

GBP

GDP (QoQ) 

-0.5%

-0.5%

 

09:30

GBP

GDP (YoY) 

-0.5%

-0.5%

 Sep. 28 

07:45

EUR

French Consumer Spending (MoM) 

-0.2%

0.1%

 

08:00

CHF

KOF Leading Indicators 

1.55

1.57

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Sep 25 08:30 Holland 

Sep 25 08:30 Spain 

Sep 25 09:10 Italy  

Sep 25 14:30 UK 

Sep 25 17:00 US 

Sep 26 09:10 Italy  

Sep 26 09:10 Sweden 

Sep 26 09:00 Germany 

Sep 26 14:30 Sweden 

Sep 26 17:00 US 

Sep 27 00:30 Japan 

Sep 27 09:10 Italy  

Sep 27 17:00 US 

About the Author

Advertisement