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EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 31, 2014 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 25, 2015, 07:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/JPY added 5 points to trade at 137.62 as the euro claimed a couple of points in the early session as traders begin

EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 31, 2014 Forecast
EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 31, 2014 Forecast
EUR/JPY Fundamental Analysis October 31, 2014 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

The EUR/JPY added 5 points to trade at 137.62 as the euro claimed a couple of points in the early session as traders begin to focus on the Bank of Japan meeting tomorrow. Japan will also release its monthly data drop on Friday. Asian stocks fell and the dollar surged to a three-week high versus the yen after the U.S. Federal Reserve ended its massive quantitative easing programme, as expected, but laced its economic assessment with a bit of optimism.  The Bank of Japan meets tomorrow after data showed this week that industrial production jumped the most since January and retail sales rose more than analysts expected in September.

The central bank will consider moderating its language on inflation in a report to take account of the impact of lower oil prices, according to people familiar with central bank’s discussions.

The Government Pension Investment Fund will increase its domestic equity allocation to 24 percent of assets from 12 percent, according to the median estimate of 12 fund managers, strategists and economists polled by Bloomberg over the past two weeks. That’s up from 20 percent in a similar survey in May. The Topix index soared 4 percent on Oct. 20 on a Nikkei newspaper report that the fund would set a 25 percent local-share target.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our  weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  NZD

 

Interest Rate Decision 

3.50%

3.50%

3.50%

 

 

  NZD

 

RBNZ Rate Statement  

 

 

 

 

 

  AUD

 

HIA New Home Sales

0.0%

 

3.3%

 

 

EURJPY(15 minutes)20141030051906

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

 

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 

  JPY

 

Household Spending

 

-4.3%

-4.7%

 

 

  JPY

 

National Core CPI (YoY)

 

3.0%

3.1%

 

 

  JPY

 

Tokyo Core CPI (YoY)

 

2.5%

2.6%

 

 

  AUD

 

PPI (YoY) (Q3)

 

 

2.3%

 

 

  AUD

 

PPI (QoQ) (Q3)

 

 

-0.1%

 

 

  AUD

 

Private Sector Credit

 

0.4%

0.4%

 

 

  JPY

 

BoJ Press Conference 

 

 

 

 

 

  EUR

 

German Retail Sales

 

-1.0%

2.5%

 

 

  EUR

 

French Consumer

 

-0.3%

-0.7%

 

 

  EUR

 

Italian CPI (MoM)

 

-0.2%

-0.4%

 

 

  EUR

 

Core CPI (YoY) (Oct)  

 

0.8%

0.8%

 

 

  EUR

 

CPI (YoY) (Oct)  

 

0.4%

0.3%

 

 

  EUR

 

Unemployment Rate

 

11.5%

11.5%

 

 

  USD

 

Core PCE Price Index

 

 

1.5%

 

 

  CAD

 

GDP (MoM) (Aug)

 

0.0%

0.0%

 

 

  USD

 

Chicago PMI (Oct)

 

60.0

60.5

 

 

  USD

 

Michigan Consumer

 

86.4

86.4

 

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country Auction

Oct 30 10:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auctions

Oct 30 17:00 US Usd 29bn 7Y Notes

Nov 03 10:00 Norway T-bill auction

Nov 04 10:15 Austria RAGB auction

Nov 04 10:30 Belgium 3 & 6M T-bill auction (Feb & Apr 2015)

Nov 04 10:30 UK Auctions 0.5% 2050 I/L Gilt

Nov 05 10:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Oct 2019 Bobl auction

Nov 06 09:30 Spain Bono/Obligacion auction

Nov 06 10:03 Sweden I/L bond auction

Nov 06 11:00 Norway Announces details of bond auction on Nov 11

Nov 07 16:30 Italy Announces details of BOT auction on Nov 12

 

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