Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/JPY dipped 18 points to trade at 136.81 down by 18 points euro continues to decline on lackluster German factory
The EUR/JPY dipped 18 points to trade at 136.81 down by 18 points euro continues to decline on lackluster German factory data. The Japanese yen continued to increase after the Bank of Japan left policy and rates in place at their monthly meeting yesterday. The yen was near a one-month high versus the euro after the International Monetary Fund cut its global growth forecast, boosting demand for havens. The Australian and New Zealand dollars fell after a private report showed growth in services industries slowed in China. Finance ministers and central bankers from the Group-of-20 economies will meet this week. During Asian trading yesterday, the yen was whipsawed by speculation when the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting was halted mid-session so Governor Haruhiko Kuroda could attend parliament at the request of opposition lawmaker Tesoro Fukuyama. The Japanese currency had been falling toward a six-year low of 110 per dollar, before reversing course and rising.
Japanese consumer spending has been curbed by a sales-tax increase, also had its outlook cut. The IMF said Japan’s gross domestic product will expand 0.8 percent next year, compared with a 1.1 percent advance predicted in July.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.
Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|||
|
JPY |
Adj. Current Account |
0.13T |
0.19T |
0.10T |
|
|
|
JPY |
Current Account n.s.a. |
0.287T |
0.198T |
0.417T |
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|
|
CNY |
HSBC Services PMI |
53.5 |
53.8 |
54.1 |
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|
|
JPY |
BoJ Monthly Report |
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Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:
Cur. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|||
|
GBP |
RICS House Price Bal. |
|
38% |
40% |
|
|
|
AUD |
Employment Change |
|
-30.0K |
121.0K |
|
|
|
AUD |
Full Employment |
|
|
14.3K |
|
|
|
AUD |
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.2% |
6.1% |
|
|
|
EUR |
German Trade Balance |
|
18.5B |
22.2B |
|
|
|
EUR |
ECB Monthly Report |
|
|
|
|
|
|
GBP |
Interest Rate Decision |
|
0.50% |
0.50% |
|
|
|
USD |
Initial Jobless Claims |
|
294K |
287K |
|
|
|
CAD |
New Housing Price |
|
0.2% |
0.0% |
|
|
|
EUR |
ECB President Draghi |
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Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country Auction
Oct 08 09:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Oct 2019 Bobl auction
Oct 08 09:30 Swiss Bond auction (for decision)
Oct 08 15:30 Italy Announces details of BTP
Oct 08 17:00 US 10Y Note auction
Oct 09 09:03 Sweden I/L bond auction
Oct 09 17:00 US 30Y bond auction
Oct 10 09:10 Italy BOT auction