After a bullish week last week, the focus will shift to COVID-19, vaccine updates, and geopolitics, with no major stats to consider on the day ahead.
German PPI (MoM) (Mar)
Deposit Facility Rate (Apr)
ECB Interest Rate Decision (Apr)
Eurozone Consumer Confidence Flash
French Manufacturing PMI (Apr) Prelim
French Services PMI (Apr) Prelim
German Manufacturing PMI (Apr) Prelim
German Services PMI (Apr) Prelim
Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Apr) Prelim
Eurozone Markit Composite PMI (Apr) Prelim
Eurozone Services PMI (Apr) Prelim
ECB President Lagarde Speaks
It was a bullish end to the week for the European majors on Friday.
Following on from a relatively bullish day on Thursday, the DAX30 rallied by 1.34%, to lead the way. The CAC40 and the EuroStoxx600 saw more modest gains of 0.85% and 0.90% respectively.
Positive stats from China and the U.S provided support for the European majors at the end of the week.
Corporate earnings delivered further upside for German autos and the DAX30. At the end of the week, Daimler released prelim Q12021 results. Favorable sales momentum at Mercedes driven by strong demand, from China in particular, delivered better than expected results.
It was a relatively quiet day on the economic calendar on Friday.
Finalized inflation figures and trade data for the Eurozone were in focus.
In March, the annual rate of inflation accelerated from 0.9% to 1.3%. The annual rate of inflation had stood at 0.7% in March 2020.
According to Eurostat,
In February, the Eurozone’s trade surplus widened from €11.0bn to €17.7bn.
According to Eurostat,
It was another busy day, with key stats including consumer sentiment figures. Housing sector data was also in focus but had a muted impact on the majors.
According to April prelim figures, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose from 84.9 to 86.5.
While up by just 1.9% month-on-month, the index was up 20.5% year-on-year.
Supporting the increase was a 4.5% rise in the Current Economic Conditions Index from 93.0 to 97.2. Year-on-year, the index was up 30.8%.
Holding steady in April, was the Index of Consumer Expectations that remained unchanged at 79.7. Year-on-year, the index was up 13.7%.
For the DAX: It was a bullish day for the auto sector on Friday. Daimler and Volkswagen rallied 2.79% and by 2.65% respectively, with Continental gaining 2.33%. BMW saw a more modest 0.12% gain on the day.
It was also a bullish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank rose by 1.83%, with Commerzbank ending the day up by 1.23%.
From the CAC, it was a bullish day for the banks. BNP Paribas rallied by 2.20%, with Soc Gen gaining 1.27%. Credit Agricole saw a more modest 0.11% rise on the day.
It was also a bullish day for the French auto sector. Stellantis NV rose by 1.46%, with Renault rallying by 2.29%.
Air France-KLM found much-needed support, rising by 2.24%, with Airbus SE gaining 0.82%.
It was a 2nd consecutive week in the red the VIX on Friday, marking a 6th daily fall in 8-sessions.
Following on from a 2.47% fall on Thursday, the VIX fell by 1.93% to end the day at 16.25.
The Dow and the S&P500 rose by 0.48% and by 0.36% respectively, with the NASDAQ gaining 0.10%.
It’s a particularly quiet day ahead on the European economic calendar. There are no material stats due out of the Eurozone to provide the European majors with direction.
There are also no stats from the U.S to influence later in the day.
The lack of stats will leave the majors in the hands of geopolitics and COVID-19 vaccine updates from the weekend. Bullish sentiment towards the earnings season should provide some support going into the week, however.
In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 104 points, while the DAX was up by 23.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.