There are no majors stats from the Eurozone or the U.S to provide direction today. The lack of stats will leave COVID-19 news and any central bank chatter in focus.
GfK German Consumer Climate (Jan)
Eurozone Flash Consumer Confidence (Dec)
Spanish GDP (QoQ) (Q3)
It was a bearish end to the week for the European majors on Friday. The CAC40 slid by 1.12%, with the DAX30 and the EuroStoxx600 falling by 0.67% and by 0.52% respectively.
On the economic data front, weaker business sentiment figures from Germany and another pickup in German wholesale inflation pressures the majors.
Negative sentiment towards the shift in FED forward guidance on interest rates also weighed on the European majors. The overnight tech sell-off in the U.S had set the tone ahead of the European open. Uncertainty over the Omicron strain added to the market angst at the end of the week.
Going into the European session, German wholesale inflation figures drew attention ahead of Ifo Business Climate figures. Finalized Eurozone inflation figures for November were also in focus.
In November, Germany’s producer index increased by 0.8% after having risen by 3.8% in October. More significantly, Germany’s annual rate of wholesale inflation accelerated from 18.4% to 19.2%. Economists had forecast a monthly rise of 1.4% and an annual rate of wholesale inflation of 19.9%.
According to Destatis,
For December, the Ifo Business Climate Index fell from 96.5 to 94.7 versus a forecasted decline to 95.3.
Weighing on the headline number was a fall in the Business Expectations indicator from 94.2 to 92.6 and the Current Assessment indicator from 99.0 to 96.9.
According to the December survey,
German Manufacturing:
Services:
In November, the Eurozone’s annual rate of inflation accelerated from 4.1% to 4.9%, which was in line with forecasts. The core annual rate of inflation picked up from 2.0% to 2.6%, which was also in line with forecasts.
There were no major stats from the U.S to provide the European majors with direction on the day.
For the DAX: It was a bearish day for the auto sector on Friday. Daimler and Volkswagen led the way down, with losses of 3.60% and 3.81% respectively, with BMW sliding by 3.38%. Continental ended the day down by a more modest 1.46%.
It was also a bearish day for the banks. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank fell by 1.40% and by 2.33% respectively.
From the CAC, it was a bearish day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole fell by 1.39% and by 1.59% respectively, with Soc Gen sliding 2.25%.
The French auto sector also struggled. Stellantis NV and Renault ended the day down by 2.61% and by 1.30% respectively.
Air France-KLM and Airbus SE bucked the trend, however, rising by 1.76% and by 1.70% respectively.
It was a 2nd consecutive day in the green for the VIX on Friday.
Following a 6.64% gain on Thursday, the VIX rose by 4.86% to end the day at 21.57.
The NASDAQ slid by 2.95%, with the Dow and the S&P500 falling by 1.48% and by 1.03% respectively.
It’s a particularly quiet day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar. There are no material stats from the Eurozone to provide the majors with direction. From the U.S, there are also no stats to consider, leaving the majors in the hands of any central bank chatter and COVID-19 news updates.
In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was down by 121 points, with the DAX down 157 points.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.