It's a busy day ahead on the economic calendar. Private sector PMIs for November could test support for the majors.
French Manufacturing PMI (Nov) Prelim
French Services PMI (Nov) Prelim
German Manufacturing PMI (Nov) Prelim
German Services PMI (Nov) Prelim
Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Nov) Prelim
Eurozone Markit Composite PMI (Nov) Prelim
Eurozone Services PMI (Nov) Prelim
German GDP (Q3) Final
German IFO Business Climate Index (Nov)
ECB President Lagarde Speaks
ECB Financial Stability Review
France Jobseekers Total
GfK German Consumer Climate (Dec)
ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting
French Consumer Spending (MoM) (Oct)
French CPI (MoM) (Nov) Prelim
French GDP (QoQ) (Q3) Final
French HICP (MoM) (Nov) Prelim
Eurozone Consumer Confidence Final
It was a bullish end to a bullish week for the European majors on Friday. The DAX30 and CAC40 both rose by 0.39%, with the EuroStoxx600 gaining 0.52%.
The upside at the end of the week came as the markets continued to look towards a COVID-19 vaccine to end the pandemic.
Gains were limited, however, with the latest containment measures across the EU and the U.S to deliver a heavy blow to the respective economies.
It was a relatively quiet day on the Eurozone economic calendar. German wholesale inflation and Eurozone consumer confidence figures were in focus on the day.
Wholesale sale inflation figures from Germany were in line with forecasts. The producer price index rose by just 0.1% in October, following a 0.4% increase in September.
From the Eurozone, consumer confidence deteriorated amidst the 2nd wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. The Eurozone’s consumer confidence indicator slipped from -15.5 to -17.6 for November. Economists had forecast a decline to -17.7.
There were no material stats to provide the majors with direction late in the session.
For the DAX: It was another mixed day for the auto sector on Friday. Daimler rose by 0.43% to buck the trend on the day. Continental and Volkswagen both fell by 0.68%, with BMW ending the day down by 0.47%.
It was also a mixed day for the banks. Deutsche Bank fell by 0.20%, while Commerzbank rose by 0.67%.
From the CAC, it was also a mixed day for the banks. BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole rose by 0.36% and by 0.86% respectively. Soc Gen bucked the trend, however, falling by 0.14%
It was a bearish day for the French auto sector. Peugeot and Renault fell by 0.89% and by 0.95% respectively.
Air France-KLM eked out a 0.02% gain, while Airbus SE declined by 0.77%.
It was back into the green for the VIX on Friday. Partially reversing a 3.06% fall from Thursday, the VIX rose by 2.55% to end the day at 23.70.
A late pullback across the U.S equity markets delivered the upside for the VIX on the day.
Disagreements between the U.S Treasury and the FED on the use of emergency funds weighed on risk appetite late in the day.
On Friday, the Dow and S&P500 fell by 0.75% and by 0.68% respectively, with the NASDAQ ended the day down by 0.42%.
It’s a particularly busy day ahead on the Eurozone economic calendar. November’s prelim private sector PMI numbers for France, Germany, and the Eurozone are due out later today.
Expect sensitivity to the numbers as the markets look to get a sense of what damage the 2nd wave is having on the economy.
Service sector activity is likely to see a more material impact as a result of the reintroduced containment measures.
From the U.S, November’s prelim private sector PMIs will also influence late in the session.
Away from the economic calendar, COVID-19 news updates and any chatter from Capitol Hill will provide direction.
In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow was down by a modest 44 points.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.