Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/USD continued to climb today trading at 1.3298 well above market expectations as traders are now expecting to see
Analysis and Recommendations:
The EUR/USD continued to climb today trading at 1.3298 well above market expectations as traders are now expecting to see the euro end the year at 1.33. The euro rose to an 8-1/2 month peak against the dollar, bolstered by better-than-expected German business confidence data.
Many analysts said the euro could extend gains against the thanks to year-end demand from corporate and long-term investors in thin trading conditions. Currency speculators are also cutting short euro positions built earlier this year as worries about the eurozone showed signs of waning.
Germany’s Ifo survey showed business sentiment rose for the second month running in December, raising hopes that Europe’s largest economy will recover quickly from a weak end to the year. The expectations component of the Ifo survey also rose.
Data was mixed in the US with housing starts under forecast while building permits exceeded expectations giving the report a neutral market effect.
Traders are now expecting US lawmakers to be inking a deal ahead of the holidays as market sentiment is positive and risk is the word of the day.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports
Economic Data December 19, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
Time |
|
Currency |
|
Importance |
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 19 |
09:00 |
|
EUR |
|
|
German Ifo Business Climate Index |
102.4 |
|
102.0 |
|
101.4 |
|
||
|
09:00 |
|
EUR |
|
|
German Current Assessment |
107.1 |
|
108.0 |
|
108.1 |
|
||
|
09:00 |
|
EUR |
|
|
German Business Expectations |
97.9 |
|
96.3 |
|
95.2 |
|
||
|
09:30 |
|
GBP |
|
|
MPC Meeting Minutes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
|
11:00 |
|
GBP |
|
|
CBI Distributive Trades Survey |
19 |
|
25 |
|
33 |
|
||
|
13:30 |
|
USD |
|
|
Building Permits |
0.899M |
|
0.875M |
|
0.868M |
|
||
|
13:30 |
|
USD |
|
|
Housing Starts |
0.861M |
|
0.873M |
|
0.888M |
|||
|
13:30 |
|
CAD |
|
|
Wholesale Sales (MoM) |
0.9% |
|
1.0% |
|
-1.5% |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Dec. 20 |
09:30 |
GBP |
0.3% |
-0.8% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
1.5% |
0.6% |
|
Dec. 21 |
07:00 |
EUR |
5.9 |
5.9 |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-14.0B |
-20.8B |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-0.1% |
-0.1% |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 20 10:30 UK
Dec 20 16:30 Italy
Dec 20 18:00 US
Dec 21 16:30 Italy