Analysis and Recommendations: The EUR/USD remains above the 1.30 price level but dipped by 36 pips as it is beginning to lose momentum. The ECB today held
Analysis and Recommendations:
The EUR/USD remains above the 1.30 price level but dipped by 36 pips as it is beginning to lose momentum. The ECB today held rates and policy, but revised growth forecast for the eurozone downward for the remainder of this year and next through 2014. Mr. Draghi again reiterated his point that the ECB fix was only a short term measure and it was up to the EU policy makers to find long term solutions.
The eurozone GDP printed at forecast today at a -0.1% keeping the EU in a recession, while German factory orders climb.
In the US ahead of the Fed meet next week, US unemployment data printed above forecast lowering the possibility of additional monetary easing from the Feds. All market eye will be on the US nonfarm payroll report and will continue to wait for a resolution from US lawmakers to avoid fiscal calamities come Jan 1, 2013.
Market sentiment is in a positive mode as traders abandon precious metals and safe havens in an effort to find profits before year end.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports
Economic Data December 6, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 06 |
|
AUD |
|
|
Employment Change |
13.9K |
|
0.2K |
|
10.1K |
||
|
|
AUD |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
5.2% |
|
5.5% |
|
5.4% |
|
|
|
|
CHF |
|
|
Unemployment Rate |
3.0% |
|
3.0% |
|
3.0% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Halifax House Price Index (MoM) |
1.0% |
|
0.2% |
|
-0.1% |
||
|
|
CHF |
|
|
CPI (MoM) |
-0.3% |
|
0.0% |
|
0.1% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Trade Balance |
-9.5B |
|
-8.8B |
|
-8.4B |
||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
GDP (QoQ) |
-0.1% |
|
-0.1% |
|
-0.1% |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
German Factory Orders (MoM) |
3.9% |
|
0.9% |
|
-2.4% |
||
|
|
GBP |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
0.50% |
|
0.50% |
|
0.50% |
|
|
|
|
GBP |
|
|
BOE QE Total |
375B |
|
375B |
|
375B |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
Interest Rate Decision |
0.75% |
|
0.75% |
|
0.75% |
|
|
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Building Permits (MoM) |
15.0% |
|
3.0% |
|
-12.7% |
||
|
|
USD |
|
|
Initial Jobless Claims |
370K |
|
380K |
|
395K |
||
|
|
EUR |
|
|
ECB Press Conference |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Continuing Jobless Claims |
3205K |
|
3275K |
|
3305K |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Dec. 07 |
09:30 |
GBP |
0.7% |
-1.7% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-0.2% |
0.1% |
|
|
09:30 |
GBP |
-0.6% |
-2.6% |
|
|
11:00 |
EUR |
-0.5% |
-1.8% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
0.2% |
0.0% |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
90K |
171K |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
34.4 |
34.4 |
|
|
13:30 |
USD |
90K |
184K |
|
|
14:55 |
USD |
82.1 |
82.7 |
|
|
15:00 |
GBP |
0.5% |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 07 16:30 Italy
Dec 10 10:10 Norway
Dec 10 10:10 Slovakia
Dec 10 15:30 UK
Dec 10 16:30 Italy
Dec 11 09:30 Spain
Dec 11 10:10 Greece
Dec 11 10:15 Austria
Dec 11 10:30 Belgium
Dec 11 10:30 UK
Dec 11 18:00 US
Dec 12 10:10 Italy
Dec 12 10:10 Sweden
Dec 12 10:30 Swiss
Dec 12 16:30 US
Dec 13 01:30 Japan
Dec 13 09:30 Spain
Dec 13 10:10 Italy
Dec 13 10:30 UK
Dec 13 16:00 US
Dec 13 18:00 US
Dec 14 11:00 Belgium
Dec 14 15:30 UK