Concerns over U.S. tax reform are helping to drive the EUR/USD higher on Friday. Senators hit a glitch late Thursday. If they can work out the issues then
Concerns over U.S. tax reform are helping to drive the EUR/USD higher on Friday. Senators hit a glitch late Thursday. If they can work out the issues then there may be a vote on the tax overhaul plan later today.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. A trade through 1.1961 will signal a resumption of the uptrend. The trend will change to down on a trade through 1.1809.
The EUR/USD is also trading on the strong side of a key Fibonacci level at 1.1886. If this level fails prices could retreat into a series of retracement levels at 1.1837, 1.1823 and 1.1807.
The key upside target is a long-term downtrending angle at 1.1942. Overtaking this angle could drive the EUR/USD into the main top at 1.1961. This is a possible trigger point for an acceleration into another downtrending Gann angle at 1.2017.
The inability to overcome 1.1942 will signal the presence of sellers. This could lead to a break into a steep uptrending angle at 1.1889. This angle forms a support cluster with the Fib level at 1.1886. This area held earlier in the session.
If 1.1886 fails as support then the next target angle comes in at 1.1857.
From a longer-term perspective, look for an upside bias on a sustained move over 1.1942 and for a downside bias to develop on a sustained move under 1.1886.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.