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GBP/JPY Price Forecast – British pound pulls back

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jan 18, 2019, 18:30 UTC

The British pound initially tried to rally again during the day on Friday, but then rolled over as we have gotten a bit ahead of ourselves. That being said, I think there is support underneath as well so the question is whether or not it is going to be and exhaustion play, or is it just simply pulling back to find more momentum underneath.

GBP/JPY daily chart, January 21, 2019

The British pound broke higher during the trading session on Friday but turned around to show signs of exhaustion. I don’t know whether it is a market that is overextended or is it simply a market that needs to pullback in order to find support underneath. I believe the 140 young level is now support, extending towards the ¥141 level. That being the case, I think that pullbacks will be interesting for people who believe that the Brexit may be delayed, because that is going to be good for the British pound, at least in the short term. However, there are still a plethora of problems out there so I think that the 200 day EMA above could cause issues, pictured in black on my chart. If we break back below the ¥140 level, then we could go towards the ¥137 level. I expect a lot of volatility in this pair, and part of what will move it is the US/China situation, as this pair is so wrist sensitive anyway.

GBP/JPY  Video 21.01.19

I believe that we should get an opportunity to pick up this pair at lower levels on support though, because most of the reason for the short term pullback could simply be a function of it being Friday, and people not wanting to carry risk into the weekend. That being said, I would keep your position size a bit smaller than usual.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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