The British pound has rallied rather significantly against the Japanese yen during the trading session on Friday as we continue to see the Bank of Japan work against its own currency.
The British pound has rallied significantly during the trading session on Friday to break above the ¥165 level. We have pushed back a bit, but it still looks as if the Bank of Japan is going to hold steady on its manipulation of the bond market. Because of this, it’s likely that the Japanese yen will continue to get pummeled, as they fight to keep the 10-year yield below 0.25% persists.
Furthermore, this is apparent that tends to be very volatile, to begin with, so it should not be a huge surprise to see this market go to the upside if we have the status quo continue. The ¥162.50 level offers support, right along with the 50 Day EMA which is just below and rising. The ¥168.50 level above is where we had previously formed a bit of a “double top”, therefore I think if we can break above there, it would obviously be a very bullish turn of events. In that scenario, we could really take on the upside.
If we were to break down below the 50 Day EMA, then it’s possible that we could go down to the ¥160 level, an area that has been important multiple times recently. Breaking down below that level could be a huge change in attitude, and it could be part of a “risk-off” type of move. In that scenario, we could see a lot of negative action around the world, and therefore people might run away from the British pound and into the Japanese yen just because it’s considered to be a “safe currency.”
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.