The British pound is seen advancing against the dollar in early trading on Friday after the Bank of England upped its monetary policy stimulus efforts yesterday.
The Bank of England further cut its interest rates to a record 0.1% as part of an emergency action on Thursday to combat the negative consequences on the economy as a result of the Coronavirus. The bank also committed to purchasing an additional 200 billion pounds worth of government and corporate bonds.
The rate cut follows a larger than usual 50 basis point cut last week which was also delivered outside of a regularly scheduled meeting.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson said in a news conference yesterday that he was confident the UK can turn the tide of Coronavirus spread within 12 weeks. However, when pressed, he admitted he could not say for certain when things would end.
Earlier this week, the government asked citizens to work from home when possible and avoid public transport as well as pubs and restaurants.
Despite a pullback in the dollar in the early day, the greenback continues to dominate the FX markets this week. The trade-weighted dollar index (DXY) tested a major resistance level at 103.00 yesterday which served to trigger a notable reversal in 2016.
If DXY were to scale above the level, it would effectively be trading at highs not seen since 2004. In light of the rise in the dollar, some analysts are speculating that there will be some form of intervention to stop the rapid rise.
In the week thus far, the dollar has advanced against all of the major currencies. The British pound has pared back a bulk of losses since the US session yesterday but continues to show a loss of about 2.5% for the week thus far.
While Sterling is seeing a bit of a reprieve, the GBP/USD pair continues to remain at risk, especially if the dollar makes a bullish break above the mentioned resistance level.
Yesterday’s break above 1.1628 resistance has set a near-term bullish tone. The level remains critical support in the session ahead. The next level of interest to the upside is the psychological 1.2000 handle.
Jignesh has 8 years of expirience in the markets, he provides his analysis as well as trade suggestions to money managers and often consults banks and veteran traders on his view of the market.