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GBP/USD Price Forecast – British pound breaks through major support

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jul 20, 2018, 04:53 UTC

The British pound broke down during the day on Thursday, slicing through the vital 1.30 level. This is an area that I have been paying attention to for some time now, and the fact that we broke through there is a very negative sign indeed. I believe that the market continues to see a lot of noise in the United Kingdom, and that of course is going to affect this pair.

GBP/USD daily chart, July 20, 2018

The British pound has broken through the vital 1.30 level during the trading session on Thursday, showing signs of further weakness as retail sales came out much softer than anticipated. Impounding that with the drama surrounding Teresa May and the Brexit, it’s difficult to imagine that a lot of people are going to jump in and start by the British pound in the short term. I think that if we see resistance again at the 1.30 level on a rally, this pair will probably go much lower.

However, if we can turn things around and break above the 1.31 handle, that would be an extraordinarily bullish sign. This would almost certainly be accompanied by some type of good news coming out of the United Kingdom, which is vitally needed right now. I believe that it is more likely that we will continue to see negativity around this marketplace, although the US dollar is certainly overbought at this point. I believe you will get opportunities to short this pair at higher levels, but again, if we can break above the 1.31 handle we should continue to go much higher.

I’d say the only thing you can count on in this pair is that it is going to continue to be very noisy. However, it looks as if the sellers are in complete control at the moment.

GBP/USD Video 20.07.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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