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GBP/USD Price Forecast – British pound explodes to the upside after German softened stance

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Sep 6, 2018, 05:35 UTC

Word has gotten out that the Germans have softened their stance a bit, and that perhaps the British are doing the same. If that’s the case, we are much closer to a Brexit than most people realize, and we are now starting to press the 1.30 level. There is a downtrend line that goes just above there, so I think if we get a daily close well above the 1.30 level, we are looking at a trend change.

GBP/USD daily chart, September 06, 2018

The British pound has exploded to the upside in reaction to word getting out that the United Kingdom and Germany may be softening their stance on some of the most hardline issues of the Brexit. If that’s the case, then we are much closer to a Brexit than originally thought. However, we seem to move like this just last week, so be a bit cautious about jumping in with both feet. Unfortunately, far too many retail traders are probably betting their entire account on this move. They will be sorely mistaken to do so, because until we get confirmation, there is the possibility that a tweet or some other type of statement will come out to smack this right back down. However, I do think that we are getting close to a trend change in the British pound, and that will almost certainly come once we break above the downtrend line near the 1.3033 level.

This is a tricky candle to trade, and quite frankly the best way to trade something like this is the buy on short-term dips. If we get there is, then those should be thought of as value, but cautiously so. I would build a long-term position in little bits and pieces, and once we break above the downtrend line, then it becomes a “buy-and-hold” situation.

GBP/USD Video 06.09.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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