The British pound has done a bit of choppiness ahead of the FOMC on Wednesday, as we wait to see what the Americans will do when it comes to monetary policy.
The British pound has initially tried to rally during the trading session on Wednesday but then gave back the gains in order to show that we are trying to build some type of base so that we can go higher. Furthermore, the uptrend line of course sits right here as well, and that should continue to play a factor in the idea of the British pound been supported. Furthermore, we had a hammer formed during the trading session on Tuesday which looks promising, and that of course we have the 50 day EMA sitting underneath that will attract quite a bit of attention as well.
The 1.3750 level underneath has been massive support, so if we were to break down below there it probably opens up a move down towards the 1.35 handle underneath, which of course would bring the 200 day EMA into the picture as well as previous support that has seen plenty of action, and of course would define the overall trend from what I can see. If we were to break down below there, then I think the British pound is in serious trouble.
The 1.42 level has offered significant resistance above, so it is not a huge surprise that we pulled back so sharply. I think we are trying to build up enough momentum in order to take that level on, and perhaps break above it. All things being equal, I do believe that we retest that area, but we need to see the yields drop in America to help that notion to fruition. As things stand right now, I have no interest in shorting this pair.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.