The British pound fell during the trading session on Wednesday, but still sees quite a bit of support underneath near the 1.3333 handle.
The British pound fell during the day, but I still believe that the 1.3333 handle should continue to offer a significant amount of support, and therefore think that a bounce is probably coming. At that point, the market should then go to the 1.35 level above, which of course has often offered resistance. A break above there then frees the market to go looking towards the 1.3650 level above, which is a massive gap that offers massive amounts of resistance. A break above that level allows this market to be a “buy-and-hold” market, going forward we could find this to be a “buy on dips” situation. In fact, I believe that a break above that gap is a signal to take a much larger position. In the meantime, I suspect that a short-term factor in this market is that we need to keep a small position. Later on though, I fully anticipate being large in this pair to the upside.
Alternately, if we do break down below the 1.3333 handle, then I think that we should probably step off this market for a while, and wait for clarity. However, I think that’s very unlikely, and I will be adding on the move higher in a slow manner. Again though, if we can break above the top of the gap, then it becomes a large position just waiting to happen. At that point, I would expect the market to go to the 1.40 level, and then eventually to the 1.45 handle after that. There will be a lot of volatility due to the negotiations with the European Union, but eventually I think owning the British pound will be the way to go.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.