The gold market has been very bullish to say the least. At this point, the market continues to see a bit of a stretched situation, but at this point in time, pullbacks will more likely than not be thought of as buying opportunities.
The gold market has gone back and forth during the trading session here on Friday, as the market is hanging around just below the $3,900 level. The $3,900 level of course is a large, round, psychologically significant figure and an area that’s offered quite a bit of resistance over the previous candlesticks. A short-term pullback is certainly very possible and really at this point in time, a pullback could open up the possibility of a move down to the $3,800 level.
With this being the case, I think you’d have to be very interested in this $3,800 level, not only due to the way it behaved previously, but the fact that the ascending triangle that we broke out of to get to these levels suggested a move to $3,800. And therefore, it makes a certain amount of sense that we are looking at that as a potential area of support after it was such a prominent target.
This being said, market participants continue to look at this through the prism of massive central bank buying providing a little bit of a permanent bid for the market, but we also have interest rates being cut by the Federal Reserve and that drives gold higher. And then quite frankly, we have a lot of uncertainty out there. The uncertainty out there has people buying gold just for safety. So, with all that being said and the simple momentum, I like buying dips. I would love to see a dip, especially down to at least the $3,800 level. Longer term, I do think we will eventually find our way to $4,000.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.