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Gold (XAUUSD), Silver, Platinum Forecasts – Fed Cut Bets and Dollar Weakness Keep Metals Bullish

By:
James Hyerczyk
Updated: Sep 11, 2025, 19:27 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Gold closes at $3,631, just below record highs, with Fed cut bets at 94% keeping the uptrend strong and momentum intact.
  • Silver extends rally to $41.77, pushing past the $41.67 top, with trend confirmed by higher tops and higher bottoms.
  • Platinum holds $1,383, supported above its 50-day SMA at $1,367, but lags gold and silver without strong catalysts.
Gold Price Forecast

Metals Rally as Fed Cut Expectations Drive Trend: Gold, Silver, and Platinum Outlook

Daily Gold (XAU/USD)

Gold held firm on Thursday, closing at $3,631.65, just below the recent high of $3,674.70. The move continues to be supported by weak U.S. labor market data and a strong consensus that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next week. CME FedWatch pricing shows a 94% probability of a 25-basis-point cut, with jobless claims climbing to 263,000 and nonfarm payrolls revised sharply lower.

The dollar index dropped to $97.57, while 10-year Treasury yields slipped below 4%. This environment favors non-yielding assets like gold, which remains in a well-defined uptrend.

Gold is building higher tops and higher bottoms, with momentum holding above the 50-day simple moving average at $3,395.30. The recent bottom at $3,593 is the key support pivot, and the trend remains bullish as long as that level holds. Immediate upside levels are $3,674.70 and $3,730, with $3,780 as the next extension target if buying pressure continues.

Silver: Bullish Structure Intact Above $41.03

Daily Silver (XAG/USD)

Silver extended its 2025 rally on Thursday, pushing through the previous top at $41.67 before stalling at $41.77. The trend remains up, supported by a clear sequence of higher tops and higher bottoms off the August low at $36.96.

Support is now defined at the $41.03 pivot. Below that, $40.73 and $40.40 are minor bottom support levels. Silver remains well above its rising 50-day simple moving average at $38.60, reinforcing the bullish structure. As long as silver holds above $41.03, the path remains open toward $44.22, the next major upside level.

Platinum: Supported But Lagging the Leaders

Daily Platimum (XPTUSD)

Platinum closed at $1,383.10 on Thursday, holding above the 50-day simple moving average at $1,367.20. The metal continues to trail gold and silver but remains in a constructive pattern. Since rebounding from the August bottom at $1,296.60, platinum has formed a higher bottom and recently topped at $1,438.30.

The trend is still valid above $1,367.20, but price needs to push through $1,438.30 to extend the move. A breakout above that top would open the way toward $1,475. For now, the metal is consolidating within its structure and holding trend support.

Conclusion: Trend is Bullish Across the Board

Gold, silver, and platinum remain in confirmed uptrends, backed by Fed rate cut expectations, soft U.S. economic data, and a falling dollar. Gold leads with strong momentum and support at $3,593. Silver is building strength above the $41.03 pivot, and platinum is holding its trend above $1,367.20. As long as these key levels remain intact, the trend bias across the metals complex stays bullish.

More Information in our Economic Calendar.

About the Author

James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.

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