Investors cautious ahead as CPI data, Fed's rate decision dominate market sentiment, while Netflix surges on Wells Fargo's target price increase.
During Wednesday’s overnight trade, there was a sense of caution among investors despite the S&P 500 and Nasdaq poised for a slightly higher open. The potential impact of inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s decision looms large, prompting vigilance among market participants.
At 13:42 GMT, the blue chip Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading 33626.84, up 53.56 or +0.16%. The benchmark S&P 500 Index is at 4296.53, up 12.68 or +0.30% and the tech-weighted Nasdaq Composite is trading 13350.31, up 73.89 or +0.56%.
Several individual stocks are making headlines on the opening. Netflix experienced a premarket surge of 3.2% following a target price increase by Wells Fargo. On the other hand, Campbell Soup faced a decline due to margin pressures caused by rising commodity and freight costs. Salesforce’s announcement of an expanded AI partnership with Google Cloud contributed to a 1.1% gain, and Coinbase saw a rebound of 2.9% after a significant drop and the Securities and Exchange Commission’s lawsuit.
The outcome of next week’s inflation data release holds significant importance. While a slight cooling of consumer prices is expected on a month-over-month basis in May, concerns persist regarding elevated core prices. The Federal Reserve’s approach to interest rates will also be a critical factor. Market consensus suggests that the central bank will maintain its current stance, but the possibility of a rate hike in July cannot be ruled out.
The recent positive performance of the stock market, driven by the belief that interest rates will remain steady, is met with caution by investors. They are mindful of potential profit-taking, especially for tech and growth stocks that have seen significant gains. Furthermore, concerns about global demand have arisen due to China’s unexpected decline in May exports, indicating a 7.5% year-on-year slump.
Moving forward, investors will closely monitor the quarterly results of GameStop after the close. The company is expected to report an adjusted loss per share.
Market participants will approach the current landscape with caution, keeping a close eye on key economic data and corporate developments. The upcoming release of inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week are likely to shape market sentiment and influence investment decisions in the short term.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.