Micron earnings, Oracle’s TikTok deal, and AutoZone’s pricing power shape today’s US stock market forecast. Key indices face rebalancing risks.
U.S. stock futures ticked lower Tuesday morning as traders brace for major after-hours earnings from Micron and AutoZone, alongside fresh developments in the TikTok acquisition. Sector-specific catalysts—particularly in tech and consumer names—are likely to drive intraday rotations, with traders watching for actionable signals across semiconductors and retail.
Micron Technology (MU), which surged 38% in September, is trading near $166.30 after-hours, just shy of its new average price target of $166.44. With EPS expected at $2.86 on $11.22 billion in revenue, the market will zero in on gross margin guidance—48% or better may validate the AI-driven memory boom. MU is leaning into High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) growth, projecting full capacity into 2026.
From a technical perspective, resistance sits near $170, with profit-taking likely above $174 if earnings fail to impress. Immediate support lies around $159. Position sizing should reflect elevated expectations and options premiums. JPMorgan suggests a call ratio spread (buy $170 calls, sell two $180s) to play upside while collecting premium. Traders holding long may consider trimming ahead of the print to reduce event risk.
AutoZone (AZO), at $4,121, dipped 0.5% Monday but remains in focus with earnings after the bell. The setup favors a breakout above $4,150, with $4,190 as next resistance. Analysts expect $50.83 EPS on $6.24 billion in revenue, and Morgan Stanley sees a potential comp sales beat. Despite trade concerns, AutoZone has leveraged tariff inflation to boost pricing power—an unusual edge in today’s environment.
Its recession-resistant model and U.S.-focused operations shield it from the broader pressure on consumer discretionary stocks. Traders are watching this name not just for results, but as a defensive rotation candidate with growth upside.
Oracle (ORCL) may see renewed institutional demand after securing a key role in TikTok’s U.S. algorithm oversight. Already hosting the platform’s domestic data, this move cements Oracle’s role in U.S. AI infrastructure. CEO Safra Catz stepping down to become vice chair could hint at a leadership role in the joint venture.
New deal terms remove much of the geopolitical overhang: ByteDance retains less than 20%, and new backers may include Silver Lake and Dell-linked interests. Final approval is expected in early 2026, but the trading impact could be immediate.
Micron’s strength may be part of a larger trend. Memory chip names are rallying late in the cycle, defying typical inventory build-ups. Traders should also track Samsung’s HBM3e timeline for Nvidia chips, which could alter supply chains and sector leadership. This divergence from historical cyclicals suggests AI demand is distorting normal sector behavior—possibly extending the semi rally beyond typical seasonal peaks.
Earnings from Micron and AutoZone hit after today’s close. Updates on the TikTok deal and Oracle’s investor response will carry through Wednesday. Memory pricing trends and HBM demand supply imbalances remain ongoing drivers.
In after-hours action, Firefly Aerospace (FLY) sank 12.4% after missing Q2 estimates, and MBX Biosciences (MBX) fell 2.1% on a public offering—highlighting risk-off sentiment in speculative tech and biotech.
While the OECD raised global growth expectations to 3.2% and cut U.S. inflation estimates to 2.7%, traders remain focused on sector-specific catalysts. AI infrastructure spend (Micron, Oracle) and tariff-driven pricing power (AutoZone) are creating clear outperformers.
With Fed policy likely hinging on incoming inflation prints, expect positioning to favor names with strong forward visibility. Use technical levels and proper sizing as volatility picks up around earnings. In this environment, clear catalysts matter more than broad indexes.
More Information in our Economic Calendar.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.