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Christopher Lewis
Natural gas daily chart, July 18, 2018

Natural gas markets were volatile during the trading session on Tuesday, reaching towards the $2.78 level, an area that has offered support recently. The fact that the market rolled over there is not a huge surprise, mainly because we have such a huge oversupply of natural gas out there, and of course the rising US dollar puts downward pressure on most commodities anyway. The $2.74 level has been short-term support, but I don’t see anything major there to keep the market afloat. It makes more sense that we go down to the $2.70 level, and then test that major support level.

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A break down below that area would allow the market to reach towards the bottom of the overall consolidation area, which I see as the $2.60 level as it was the bottom of the longer-term trading range that the market has been in. If we were to turn around and break below the $2.60 level, that would be a catastrophic event for the natural gas markets. I don’t anticipate that happening, but I do expect that the market will go down to that area to test that level, because it is simply far too interesting of a target. I believe that rallies at this point are to be sold and have no interest in buying this market anytime soon as it is showing its longer-term proclivity to drift lower. Look for exhaustion, then get involved in this trend.

NATGAS Video 18.07.18

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