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Natural Gas Weekly Price Forecast – natural gas has an ugly week

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Sep 15, 2018, 06:28 UTC

The natural gas markets initially tried to rally during the week, and at first looked very promising. The $2.85 area offered enough resistance to turn things back around and form a shooting star looking candle. Obviously, that’s a very negative turn of events but I see some hope on the horizon.

Natural gas weekly chart, September 17, 2018

The natural gas markets initially tried to rally during the week but turned around to form an ugly shooting star shaped candle in the middle of the range. You can see that the range is marked at the $2.70 level underneath, and the $3.00 level above. A market move down towards the $2.70 level will be very interesting to me, because it has offered so much in the way of support as of late. While the candle stick for the week is very ugly, the reality is that the support and the resistance that has been guiding this market has been around forever.

I think longer-term traders will start to look towards the cold months rather soon, and therefore once we roll over to the next contract we will be thinking about snow in the northeastern part of the United States. That’s obviously a very negative turn of events for weather, and it very positive for the demand of natural gas. At this point, I think that we are low enough that selling isn’t much of a thought. Overall, I think that if you are patient enough you should get a candle that you can buy, perhaps on the daily chart instead of the weekly chart. You can fine-tune your entry by doing that, and I would be all over some type of bounce from the $2.70 level as it has a good risk to reward ratio.

NATGAS Video 17.09.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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