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NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis December 30, 2013 – January 3, 2014 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 22, 2015, 20:00 GMT+00:00

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation:  The NZD/USD eased throughout the week to end at 0.8154 as the US dollar gained momentum on a quiet trading week.

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis December 30, 2013 – January 3, 2014 Forecast

Weekly Analysis and Recommendation: 

NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis December 30, 2013 - January 3, 2014 Forecast
NZD/USD Weekly Fundamental Analysis December 30, 2013 – January 3, 2014 Forecast

The NZD/USD eased throughout the week to end at 0.8154 as the US dollar gained momentum on a quiet trading week. After the holiday the US dollar eased as traders looked for higher risk assets. The New Zealand dollar weakened as the greenback is supported by an improving outlook for the US economy.

Most financial centers in Europe and the Americas were closed for Christmas on Wednesday with many also shut for Boxing Day. Markets are “very, very subdued”, Stuart Ive, senior adviser at OMF said. “There’s not going to be a great deal going on.” “The kiwi is drifting a little bit lower as we have a US dollar that continues to strengthen. It’s a reflection of the US economy strengthening. It adds to that picture that the US is on the path for future tapering,” he said.

Date

Last

Open

High

Low

Change %

Dec 27, 2013

0.8154

0.8158

0.8194

0.8142

-0.05%

Dec 26, 2013

0.8158

0.8174

0.8190

0.8151

-0.20%

Dec 25, 2013

0.8174

0.8183

0.8186

0.8174

-0.16%

Dec 24, 2013

0.8187

0.8196

0.8196

0.8172

-0.11%

Dec 23, 2013

0.8196

0.8212

0.8216

0.8189

-0.19%

The New Zealand and Australian dollars also weakened on concern about the stability of the financial system in China, a major trading partner for the two nations, Mr Ive said. The People’s Bank of China on Tuesday injected 29 billion yuan into the nation’s financial system on concern rising yields for interbank lending could cause a credit crunch.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

Historical: From 2011 to Present

Highest: 0.8842 USD on Aug 01, 2011

Average: 0.8131 USD over this period

Lowest: 0.7371 USD on Nov 25, 2011

 

NZDUSD(60 minutes)20131228072823

Major Economic Events for the week of December 23-27 actual v. forecast for Yen, the Aussie, the Kiwi and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

 Dec. 23

13:30

USD

Core PCE Price Index (MoM) 

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

 

13:30

USD

Personal Spending (MoM) 

0.5%

0.5%

0.4%

 

14:55

USD

Michigan Consumer Sentiment 

82.5

83.0

82.5

 Dec. 24

13:30

USD

Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) 

1.2%

0.6%

0.7%

 

13:30

USD

Durable Goods Orders (MoM) 

3.5%

2.0%

-0.7%

 

15:00

USD

New Home Sales 

464K

445K

474K

 

15:00

USD

New Home Sales (MoM) 

-2.1%

-2.0%

17.6%

Dec. 26

13:30

USD

Initial Jobless Claims 

338K

345K

380K

 

23:30

JPY

Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) 

0.7%

0.7%

0.6%

 

23:30

JPY

Household Spending (YoY) 

0.2%

1.7%

0.9%

 

23:30

JPY

Tokyo CPI (YoY) 

0.9%

 

0.9%

 

23:50

JPY

Industrial Production (MoM) 

0.1%

0.4%

1.0%

 

23:50

JPY

Retail Sales (YoY) 

4.0%

2.9%

2.3%

 

Economic Highlights of the coming week that affect the AUD, JPY, NZD and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Dec. 30 

15:00

USD

Pending Home Sales (MoM) 

1.0%

-0.6%

Dec. 31

14:45

USD

Chicago PMI 

61.0

63.0

 

15:00

USD

CB Consumer Confidence 

76.0

70.4

Jan. 01

01:00

CNY

Chinese Manufacturing PMI 

 

51.4

Jan. 02

01:45

CNY

Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI 

 

50.5

 

15:00

USD

ISM Manufacturing PMI 

57.0

57.3

 

 

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