Crude oil prices ticked higher at mid-session Thursday, recovering from early losses that saw West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hit a low of $56.39—its weakest level since April 9. The market remains technically vulnerable, however, as it trades below the key short-term pivot at $59.67, now serving as resistance.
At 15:24 GMT, Light Crude Oil Futures are trading $58.54, up $0.33 or +0.57%.
Dip-buyers entered the market around the $56.30 level, offering some intraday support. But without follow-through buying above $59.67, the rally lacks conviction. A sustained move above this threshold could trigger momentum toward the next technical target at $63.06. Conversely, renewed weakness below $59.67 opens the door for a potential slide to $54.48.
Oil prices were buoyed by a broader rally in U.S. equities, driven by upbeat earnings from tech giants Meta and Microsoft. This helped ease some market anxiety over the health of the U.S. economy and counterbalance bearish supply-side signals.
Supply concerns remain at the forefront. Saudi Arabia has signaled it will not support further supply cuts, suggesting a willingness to tolerate low prices for an extended period. Meanwhile, several OPEC+ members are expected to push for faster output increases at a meeting of eight nations on May 5, adding pressure to a market already grappling with excess supply worries.
Data released Wednesday showed the U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter—the first decline in three years—largely due to a surge in imports as businesses sought to front-run tariffs. The drag from President Trump’s unpredictable trade policy has raised the likelihood of a broader global slowdown, according to a Reuters poll.
While today’s bounce reflects short-term buying interest, the broader market tone remains fragile. Unless WTI can hold above $59.67 and attract sustained buying, the path of least resistance is lower. Traders should remain cautious with a bearish bias prevailing below resistance, especially given the looming OPEC+ supply decision and ongoing economic uncertainty.
More Information in our Light Crude Oil Futures.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.