The silver market drops again on Thursday, as interest rate markets in the US and Europe are driving everything. A non-yielding asset such as silver will continue to have issues in this environment.
The silver market has shown itself to be rather negative as we have been following the 10-year yield specifically in America and as it rises silver drops.
With bonds offering a rate of return non-yielding assets such as silver and gold will suffer at the hands of those outflows heading towards guaranteed returns. Keep in mind that we are now back below the $70 level and that, of course, is a negative sign with the 200-day EMA sitting below there, offering a juicy target at $62.31. However, it will take time.
If we rally from here, I still think you have to be skeptical. We even started to see silver sell off a bit late in the session on Wednesday, as we got wind of the rate market just not giving up. This is a continual problem for metals, and I think the biggest hurdle at the moment.
With that, I believe you have a scenario where traders continue to look at this as a “fade the rally” situation. So, the market is one that I think is going to remain very noisy and one that you have to be very nimble in. Short-term trading is about all you can expect at the moment.
I would not be too big with my positions, but I think silver has a lot of issues right now. I think a lot of things have a lot of issues until we get past the war. Once the war is dead and gone, then silver probably perks back up.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.