Silver continues to see noisy trading on Monday as we are looking at interest rate levels that are important and possibly could cause a bigger move overall. At this point, I like silver long term, but see a lot of bumps ahead.
Silver has found itself drifting lower to kick off the trading week but has since turned around to show signs of life, and I think at this point in time, you have to watch the $80 level very closely. The $80 level has been both support and resistance in the past, and I think a lot of people will be watching this level very closely. If we can break above there, then the market more likely than not will go looking to the $90 level as it is the top of the larger and longer-term consolidation range.
Below we have the $70 level offering support with the 200-day EMA just below there offering support as well. Ultimately, I think this is a market that continues to be very noisy, but I do like buying dips. I do think that the lack of supply for silver will continue to be a major driver of where we go next, so be aware of that potential issue going forward.
If we were to break down below the 200-day EMA, then you could see a drop pretty significantly from there to at least the $60 level, but the only way I see that happening is if interest rates start to scream higher. So, watch that 10-year yield in the United States. All things being equal though, longer term, I am very bullish on silver in the long term but recognize that the interest rates will continue to be a stumbling block at times.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.