The situation in the Middle East continues to see a lot of movement, as it is a situation where nobody is willing to flinch, and as a result the markets continue to see big swings in interest rates.
The silver market gapped lower to kick off the trading week, and although we’ve seen a few bounces here and there, the markets continue to look as if interest rates are going to be a problem. This is the pattern we have been in for some time, and I don’t see that changing.
That does make a certain amount of sense, considering that rates are high anyway, and it seems like every time we break above the 4.30% level in the 10-year yield in America, silver pays the price.
This is driven mainly by the idea of the Middle East not calming down enough. While we aren’t seeing massive explosions everywhere like we were, we are seeing the Iranians and the Americans be increasingly stubborn, digging their heels in when it comes to negotiations. And that has traders on edge.
When you look at the totality of the chart, though, we are still much higher than we were six months ago, so I do believe that we’re in an uptrend. It’s just that the situation in the Middle East will continue to put a little bit of a pause on what could have been a ferocious rally.
I think, given enough time, though, we have to look at this as a market that will be a buy on the dip scenario, and therefore, I look at a couple of levels, mainly $70, as being your short-term floor. This should continue to be a major level for traders around the world to pay attention to.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.