The Silver markets have fallen a bit during the trading session on Friday, as the US dollar picked up a bit of steam. However, I think that the Silver markets are bearish regardless. Quite frankly, even when precious metals rally, silver seems to lag. Longer-term though, we are approaching a major support level in the form of $14.
Silver markets continue to be very negative looking, as we have rolled over during the day on Friday, and now it looks as if we will continue to see a lot of support at the $14 level as it is a longer-term region that has acted more than once as major support and resistance. I think that if we can break down below the $14 level, then the market will unwind to the $12 level. All things being equal, I think it’s easier to sell silver on short-term charts that it is to do anything else. However, if we can break above the $14.40 level, then I think the market could turnaround for a while. I have been buying physical silver as you know, but that keeps the leverage out of the equation, and therefore makes it much more palatable to own.
Longer-term, I do think that silver gets a bit of a business, but in the meantime it’s obvious that short-term selling is the only thing that’s been working on a relatively reliable basis. I think at this point it’s likely that the market will find one reason or another to stay above that crucial level, but if it doesn’t I would become aggressively short of this market. In fact, at that point I would probably even be short the futures market, something that is very dangerous to do with the sizing of the contracts.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.