Silver continues to see a lot of noisy behavior, as the markets try to discern what to think about the trade talks, the global economy, and overall risk appetite. Remember, silver is very volatile, and with that you need to be cautious with your position sizing.
The silver market has seen a lot of back and forth over the last several weeks really, but Monday was just more of the same. All things being equal, it looks like the $33 level above is a bit of a magnet for price as well as a little bit of a barrier. But I think if we can break above the $33 level, then we could see this market look towards the $34 level.
The market has been consolidating between $34 and $32 at the bottom. And I think at this point, we’re just spinning our wheels trying to figure out where to go next. If you are a range bound trader, you probably love silver right now, as it’s been very reliable for you. However, if and when we do break out of this $2 range, and we will eventually, the market, at least by measured move standards, should go another $2 in whichever direction we break.
I think, though, to the upside we probably will see a lot of trouble at the $35.50 level, which was a major sell-off point. On the downside I would look at the 200-day EMA near $31.36 and then again $31 as potential support. I don’t know if we get the $2 move, that would be the expected measured move, I think we have way too much volatility here. Obviously, silver is highly sensitive to industrial demand, with everything going on right now, it’s a bit of a state of flux.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.