Solana (SOL) price soared to a 2024 peak of $118.44 on Feb 15 as bullish headwinds from crypto market rally spread toward the layer-1 sector.
Interestingly, as SOL price rejected from critical $120 resistance, investors have increasingly refrained from trading rather then enter a large-scale sell-off at the time of writing on Sunday, Feb 18.
Are the bulls revving up for a breakout towards $150 in the week ahead?
Solana, like other top-ranked layer-1 coins like and Avalanche (AVAX), Ethereum (ETH) was at the forefront of the market rally last week, soaring to a new 2024 peak of $118.
Increased demand on the Solana DeFi ecosystem and positive sentiment across the overall market have been major drivers of the rally.
However, after hitting the local top on Feb 15, SOL price has suffered a 10% pullback to a local low of $105 at the weekend.
But interestingly, on-chain data trends show that the majority of current SOL holders maintained a bullish outlook amid the Solana price pullback.
Indicatively, the Santiment chart below shows the Solana trading volume at $2.7 billion at the peak of last week’s rally of Feb 15. But as prices began to drop, SOL holders have increasingly refrained from trading.
The latest reading shows that SOL trading volume is down by $1.1 billion compared to last week’s peak, with only $1.6 billion worth of trades recorded at the close of Feb 18.
Effectively, SOL trading volume has now dropped by 40% between Feb 15 and Feb 18. But notably, Solana price only declined by a maximum of 10% during that period.
When trading volume declines significantly faster than price downtrend as observed in the Solana charts above, strategic investors interpret it as a sign of dominant positive conviction that the consolidation will be quickly followed by another rebound phase.
Also, with critical fundamental factors, such as rising demand from increased DeFi activity still trending upwards, it lends further credence to the bullish outlook.
The curtailed selling pressure observed at the weekend puts Solana in a prime position for another rebound phase toward $150 in the days ahead.
However, the upper Bollinger band indicator shows that the bulls face initial resistance at the previous peak around $119
If the bullish scenario plays out as predicted, SOL price could enter a major breakout above $120, putting the $150 target in firm focus.
On the flip side, the bears can summarily negate this bullish Solana price forecast if they force a reversal below the $90 area. However, as outlined by the lower-Bollinger band, the buy-wall at $91 could offer major support in the short-term.
Ibrahim Ajibade Ademolawa is a seasoned research analyst with a background in Commercial Banking and Web3 startups, specializing in DeFi and TradFi analysis. He holds a B.A. in Economics and is pursuing an MSc in Blockchain.