USD is coming down after US stocks stabilized and even recovered following FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell.
As I noted yesterday, he was careful with his “policy outlook” and definitely he was not that hawkish as before. However, the CPI numbers will be an important indicator for next direction of the USD.
The S&P500 has made a sharp reversal down from 4821 which can be part of a higher degree correction, but the question is if the correction will be deeper and lower to around 4500 or rather slow and sideways, like a triangle or flat. In either case, it’s important to keep an eye on a current rise from 4580 which for now is still in three-wave so it can be limited recovery at around 618% Fib. Keep in mind that for a bullish sequence we need impulse up to around 4780/4800. Long story short; the market is in a neutral zone; we need more data to confirm the next direction. US CPI can be the catalyst.
DAX is turning down in the 4-hour chart after a three-wave A)-B)-C) corrective rally, so seems like we may see a deeper decline now, at least in three waves A)-B)-C), maybe even back to the lower side of a range, ideally as big daily triangle or flat correction.
Gregor is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of Ew-Forecast, but before that, he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com.