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The Gold Market Shock No One Saw Coming – Russia’s Stunning Return to the U.S. Dollar

By
Phil Carr
Updated: Feb 13, 2026, 18:14 GMT+00:00

A geopolitical volte-face may be unfolding and the Gold market is responding with historic force.

In what could mark one of the most dramatic pivots in modern monetary history, an internal Kremlin memo reviewed by Bloomberg outlines proposals for Russia to re-embrace the U.S dollar settlement system as part of a sweeping economic partnership with the Trump administration. For a nation that has championed de-dollarization and deepened ties with Beijing, the implications are profound.

Gold daily candlestick chart. Source: TradingView

Markets have taken notice. Gold and Silver erased an eye-watering $1.4 trillion in market value in just 20 minutes on Thursday, before surging back toward the psychologically critical $5,000 an ounce mark within 24 hours. Volatility of this magnitude is no longer an anomaly – it is becoming the defining feature of 2026.

A Monetary Earthquake in Motion

At the heart of Moscow’s reported proposal lies a potential return to dollar settlements – even for energy exports. Such a reversal would send tremors through global finance.

For years, the prevailing narrative has been one of accelerating de-dollarization. Yet the Kremlin’s seven-pillar “Grand Bargain” suggests the opposite: joint LNG and Oil ventures with U.S firms, cooperation on critical minerals such as Lithium, Copper and Platinum, preferential access for American brands, nuclear energy partnerships to power AI infrastructure and even aviation modernisation using U.S aircraft.

If realized, this would represent a geopolitical masterstroke – trading confrontation for integration. But markets detest uncertainty and Gold thrives in it.

“2026 has become the year of ‘Buy low, sell high – rinse and repeat,’” says Lars Hansen, Head of Research at The Gold & Silver Club. “The asymmetry of risk-reward is staggering. A single well-timed trade on Gold is now delivering what used to take months – sometimes years – to achieve, in a single day.”

Wealth Creation on a Generational Scale

The numbers are breath-taking. In a matter of days, the yellow metal has delivered some of the largest one-day gains on record.

A 21% drawdown dragged Gold to $4,400 an ounce just days ago, only for prices to reclaim $5,000 in a blistering 17% rebound in under 48 hours. Earlier in the month, single-session gains of 11% and 9% stunned even seasoned professionals.

These are not routine fluctuations. They are structural re-pricings driven by macro forces colliding in real-time. “Corrections and rallies of this magnitude are rare,” Hansen notes. “But this is where fortunes are made.”

A growing number of major Wall Street banks have begun referring to the current environment as a ‘Golden Age of Trading’ – a period defined by extraordinary volatility, compressed cycles and outsized opportunity for those positioned correctly.

China’s Quiet Exit

While Russia appears to be floating a dollar return, China is moving in the opposite direction.

Beijing’s combined holdings of U.S Treasuries, Equities and Bonds have fallen to $1.56 trillion – near the lowest level in 14 years.

Excluding Belgium-held custodial accounts, the figure drops to $1.16 trillion, the weakest since 2008. Official Treasury holdings stand at $682.6 billion, the lowest since October 2008.

At the same time, Chinese leadership has openly encouraged Gold accumulation. As a result, retail and institutional demand has surged. Now reports suggest banks are being urged to reduce exposure to U.S assets.

Liquidity is shifting. And when the world’s second-largest economy pivots away from the dollar, the reverberations are global.

Gold as the Monetary Anchor

This divergence – Russia potentially returning to the U.S dollar, while China trims exposure – underscores a deeper truth: the global monetary order is fragmenting. Central banks are hedging geopolitical volatility not with rhetoric, but with bullion.

Gold is once again the anchor.

“What we are witnessing is nothing short of a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity,” Hansen argues. “Volatility equals opportunity. And right now, we have opportunity on top of opportunity.”

For savvy traders, the message is clear. In markets this explosive, fortunes are not built by those who watch – they are built by those who act with precision, conviction and speed. 2026 is separating participants from spectators. It’s during times like these where generational wealth is forged.

History will record this period as a defining chapter in modern financial markets. The only question is: will you read about it or will you profit from it?

About the Author

Phil Carrcontributor

Phil Carr is co-founder and the Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading, Research and Data-Intelligence firm.

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