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U.S. Dollar Index (DX) Futures Technical Analysis – Main Trend Changes to Up on Trade Through 92.045

By
James Hyerczyk
Published: Mar 19, 2021, 06:59 GMT+00:00

The direction of the June U.S. Dollar Index on Friday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at 91.870.

US Dollar Index

The U.S. Dollar is inching lower against a basket of major currencies early Friday after giving back earlier gains as investors continue to monitor U.S. Treasury yields for direction. On Thursday, the greenback surged against its peers, supported by higher yields and safe-haven buying tied to a plunge in U.S. equity markets. Meanwhile, investors continue to assess the Federal Reserve’s pushback against expectations of any early changes to current policy, especially when it comes to hiking interest rates.

At 06:44 GMT, June U.S. Dollar Index futures are trading 91.865, down 0.005 or -0.01%.

Helping to support the dollar index was a brief dip in the Japanese Yen after the Bank of Japan widened its target band for the benchmark yield in a decision that was in line with market expectations.

Daily June U.S. Dollar Index

Daily Swing Chart Technical Analysis

The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through 92.045 will change the main trend to up. A move through 91.290 will reaffirm the uptrend.

On the upside, potential resistance is a series of retracement levels at 91.870, 92.200 and 92.510.

On the downside, potential support is a pair of retracement levels at 91.620 and 91.350.

The short-term range is 89.655 to 92.530. Its retracement zone at 91.095 to 90.755 is the primary downside target.

Daily Swing Chart Technical Forecast

The direction of the June U.S. Dollar Index on Friday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the 50% level at 91.870.

Bullish Scenario

A sustained move over 91.870 will indicate the presence of buyers. This could trigger a move into 92.045. Taking out this level will change the main trend to up. This could trigger a rally into 92.200, followed by the resistance cluster at 92.510 to 92.530.

Bearish Scenario

A sustained move under 91.870 will signal the presence of sellers. This could trigger a break into 91.620, followed by a support cluster at 91.350 to 91.290.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.

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