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U.S. Dollar Pulls Back As Traders React To PCE Price Index Report: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Aug 29, 2025, 16:50 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD attempts to settle above the 1.1700 level as traders focus on inflation data from Germany.
  • USD/CAD pulled back as gold markets tested new highs.
  • USD/JPY continued its attempts to settle below the 147.00 level.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Is Losing Ground As Traders Focus On PCE Data

DXY 290825 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is losing ground as traders react to PCE Price Index report. The report indicated that PCE Price Index increased by +0.2% month-over-month in July, in line with analyst estimates.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle below the 97.75 level. In case this attempt is successful, it will head towards the nearest support level, which is located in the 97.10 – 97.30 range.

EUR/USD Tests Resistance At 1.1685 – 1.1700

EUR/USD 290825 4h Chart

EUR/USD gains ground as traders focus on inflation data from Germany. Inflation Rate increased from 2.0% in July to 2.2% in August, compared to analyst forecast of 2.1%.

If EUR/USD manages to settle above the 1.1700 level, it will move towards the resistance at 1.1785 – 1.1800.

GBP/USD Gains Ground As Traders Bet On Dovish Fed

GBP/USD 290825 4h Chart

GBP/USD is trying to settle back above the 1.3500 level as traders focus on U.S. economic data.

A move above 1.3500 will push GBP/USD towards the resistance level at 1.3580 – 1.3595.

USD/CAD Retreats Amid Rising Demand For Commodity-Related Currencies

USD/CAD 290825 4h Chart

USD/CAD tests support at 1.3735 – 1.3750 as traders focus on the continuation of the rally in gold markets. Other commodity-related currencies are also moving higher in today’s trading session.

In case USD/CAD settles below 1.3735, it will gain additional downside momentum and move towards the next support level, which is located in the 1.3635 – 1.3650 range.

USD/JPY Remains Stuck Near The 147.00 Level

USD/JPY 290825 4h Chart

USD/JPY is mostly flat as traders focus on economic reports from Japan. Unemployment Rate declined from 2.5% in June to 2.3% in July, compared to analyst forecast of 2.5%. Retail Sales decreased by -0.3% year-over-year in July, compared to analyst consensus of +1.8%.

From the technical point of view, USD/JPY needs to settle below the 146.00 level to gain downside momentum in the near term.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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