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U.S. Dollar Retreats: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: May 6, 2025, 16:39 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD is trying to settle above the 1.1350 level as traders wait for the Fed decision, which will be released tomorrow.
  • USD/CAD pulled back amid rising demand for commodity-related currencies.
  • USD/JPY tested new lows as pullback continued.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

U.S. Dollar Is Under Pressure

DXY
DXY 060525 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is losing ground as traders react to imports/exports data. Exports remained unchanged at $278.5 billion in March, while imports increased from $401.1 billion to $419 billion.

In case U.S. Dollar Index settles below the 99.50 level, it will move towards the nearest support at 98.80 – 99.00.

EUR/USD Attempts To Settle Above The 50 MA

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 060525 4h Chart

EUR/USD gains ground as traders prepare for Fed Interest Rate Decision, which will be released tomorrow.

If EUR/USD settles above the 50 MA at 1.1346, it will head towards the resistance level at 1.1450 – 1.1470.

GBP/USD Tested Resistance At 1.3400 – 1.3420

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 060525 4h Chart

GBP/USD made an attempt to settle above the resistance level at 1.3400 – 1.3420 but lost momentum and pulled back.

The nearest support for GBP/USD is located in the 1.3300 – 1.3320 range. A successful test of this level will push GBP/USD towards the next support at 1.3200 – 1.3220.

USD/CAD Is Moving Lower As Commodity Markets Rally

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 060525 4h Chart

USD/CAD is moving lower as traders focus on the strong rally in precious metals markets. Rising oil markets provide additional support to the Canadian dollar.

A move below the 1.3750 level will push USD/CAD towards the next support level at 1.3700 – 1.3720.

USD/JPY Pulled Back Below 143.00

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 060525 4h Chart

USD/JPY remains under pressure as traders stay bearish ahead of the Fed Interest Rate Decision. Analysts expect that Fed will leave the interest rate unchanged at 4.5%. As usual, the market will be extremely sensitive to Powell’s comments.

Currently, USD/JPY is moving towards the support level at 141.50 – 142.00. If USD/JPY declines below 141.50, it will head towards the next support at 139.50- 140.00. RSI is in the moderate territory, and there is enough room to gain momentum in the near term.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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