USD/JPY Price Forecast – US Dollar Pulls Back Toward Support Against Yen

The US dollar has broken down significantly against the Japanese yen on Friday, dropping about 80 pips by the time New York started. While that is not a huge move, it is relatively big for the last couple of weeks. The market stopped just above the ¥107 level and hung about there, so I think at this point it is likely that the area could bring some buyers in this vicinity, but if we were to break down below the ¥107 level, it opens up the possibility of a move down to the ¥106 level where we had seen a bit of a bounce.

USD/JPY Video 01.06.20

To the upside, the 50 day EMA continues to hang above the ¥107.75. A break above there opens up the possibility of a move towards the 200 day EMA, which at this point I think that the sellers would be an influence as well. Ultimately, this is a pair that continues to chop around, and it should consider that both of these are considered to be “safety currencies.”

Ultimately, that causes a lot of noise here so looking at this chart it is obvious that the volatility is going to continue to be a major influence, so it is difficult to trade this market for a bigger move until we get some type of clarity. I do not have clarity at this point, so it is short-term back-and-forth, probably in increments of 20 or even 30 pips. I would not put huge positions on here either.

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