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USD/JPY Price Forecast – US dollar rallies again

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Mar 1, 2019, 18:07 UTC

The US dollar rallied again against the Japanese yen during trading on Friday as we touched the significant ¥112 level. This of course is a major area on the charts, but the one thing that we are starting to see is real tenacity in this pair.

USD/JPY daily chart, March 04, 2019

The US dollar has rallied significantly during the trading session on Friday as we reach towards the ¥112 level, an area that I have had marked on my chart for several weeks. At this point, we are pressing the very top of the selloff that we had seen before the crash, which is very similar to what we see in the S&P 500. Because of this, I believe that the two markets are trading off of each other, something that we used to see all the time.

USD/JPY Video 04.03.19

If we can break out in the S&P 500, this pair will break out as well. If we fail over there and roll over, that will send this pair right back down. That being said, I would be hesitant to start shorting this pair, but you are buying right into resistance if you go along here. I would probably step back and see if we can clear the ¥112 level on a daily close before putting money to work. If we don’t get that, perhaps some type of massive negative candle could be a signal that we are ready to break down. This is probably one of the more dangerous pairs right now, as it seems like we are teetering on some type of bigger move considering how much of a grind it had been to the upside. Caution is the better part of valor over here as this pair has become more dangerous with this move. The easier move was always to the downside.

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About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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