The US dollar has gone back and forth during the course of the week to form a rather neutral candlestick. By doing so, it suggests that the market is likely to stay in the same range.
The US dollar has gone back and forth during the course of the week, as we continue to hover just below the ¥110 level. The market is likely to continue looking at this range as something to stay in, and as a result it is likely to be difficult to trade from a longer-term standpoint, but we could be looking at a nice opportunity for short-term traders in this general vicinity with the ¥110 level being a bit of a magnet for price.
The 109th yen level underneath has offered support, just as the ¥111 level offers resistance. Ultimately, this is a market that I think continues to see a lot of choppy behavior, as we are trying to figure out where we are going from a risk appetite standpoint. The 50 week EMA is trying to cross above the 200 week EMA which of course is a very large, round, psychologically significant indication of trend, but quite frankly I think this is a market that is going to continue to just hover this general vicinity, at least until we get some type of clarity with the global growth situation.
Right now, I think that this market is going to continue to be difficult to hang onto, but I think at this point in time it is difficult to throw a ton of money into the market. The market will continue to be more of a short-term venture from what I can see, with more of a possible move to the downside than anything else. Keep your position size reasonable and keep to the smaller time frames.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.