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USD/JPY Weekly Price Forecast – US dollar continues to grind

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: May 3, 2019, 17:21 UTC

The US dollar continued to go back and forth against the Japanese yen, and as you can see continues to frustrate traders overall. That makes a lot of sense, as there is no straightforward directionality. Obviously, both currencies are considered to be “safety currencies”, and that’s the exact problem.

USD/JPY weekly chart, May 06, 2019

The US dollar went back and forth against the Japanese yen during the past week, finishing slightly negative. However, it doesn’t really matter as we continue to try to figure things out. With the stock markets on the precipice of a major break out but not quite ready to do so, it makes sense that this market continues to go sideways as well. If we can break out above the top of the candle stick from the previous week, then it’s possible that we could go to the ¥113.50 level. That’s an area where we’ve seen a lot of selling, so I suspect it will be difficult to break above there. However, if we break down below the candle stick from four weeks ago, then we could drop down to the ¥110 level.

If we break down below that level, then we could go down to the ¥190 level, and then eventually the ¥180 level. Overall, I think that this market probably breaks out to the upside but we need help from the stock markets and a bit more of a “risk on” move. It seems to me that market participants will continue to slap this thing back and forth, so quite frankly if you wish to play the Japanese yen or the US dollar, you may be better off playing them against the Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, or the like. Quite frankly, this pair does not have enough momentum.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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