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Why SpaceX Could Ignite the Hard-Asset Supercycle You Can’t Afford to Miss

By
Phil Carr
Published: Jun 12, 2026, 20:31 GMT+00:00

As 2026 gathers momentum, one conclusion is becoming increasingly unavoidable: the Year of Hard Assets has arrived and those waiting for confirmation risk watching the next phase of wealth creation pass them by.

For decades, space was treated as a frontier for scientists, billionaires and defence agencies. That view is now outdated. Space is becoming the next industrial economy and like every industrial revolution before it, this one will be built on Hard Assets.

At the centre of that shift is SpaceX. Starship, Starlink and the emerging race to build orbital AI infrastructure are not just technology stories. They are early signals of a new demand cycle for Aluminium, Copper, Nickel, Lithium, Silver, Rare Earth Metals, Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) and Uranium.

The global Commodity markets are now validating what analysts at The Gold & Silver Club officially coined and boldly declared six months ago: “2026 Will Be The Year of Hard Assets.” That phrase has now crystallized into the defining macro theme of the year.

“The next Commodity Supercycle will not be driven by one catalyst in isolation,” says Lars Hansen, Head of Research at The Gold & Silver Club. “It will be driven by the convergence of AI, Electrification, Energy Security, Defence Rearmament and now the Industrialisation of Space.”

Starship Changes the Scale of the Game

The pivotal catalyst is Starship. Unlike traditional rockets built for limited missions, Starship is designed for frequent heavy-lift launches and full reusability. If SpaceX succeeds in scaling launch cadence, the downstream effects could be transformational.

More launch capacity means more Satellites, Larger Payloads, Defence Systems, Orbital Platforms, Lunar Infrastructure and eventually Deeper-Space Logistics. That turns space from a niche aerospace market into a repeatable manufacturing cycle.

Starship itself is unusually Commodity-intensive. Its steel architecture links directly to steelmaking inputs, Nickel, Chromium and specialist alloys. Its Raptor engines rely on liquid methane and liquid oxygen. Its production ecosystem requires factories, launch towers, robotics, power infrastructure, industrial gases and precision metals.

“Starship is not just a rocket,” Hansen says. “It is a flying Commodity demand multiplier. Every increase in launch cadence pulls more material through the supply chain.”

Hard Assets Are Already Sending the Signal

The market does not need to wait years to see where capital is moving. The early evidence is already visible across the hard-asset complex.

CME Lithium Futures are up 86% since the start of 2026, trading back above $20,000 per metric ton – making Lithium the clear leader among the SpaceX-linked Commodity basket on a year-to-date basis.

But the rally is no longer isolated.

Rare Earths are up more than 17%, Copper has gained 28%, Aluminium has surged over 41% and Uranium is higher by 22%. Across the Hard-Asset complex, the market is sending one unmistakable signal: the next great macro cycle is being led by scarce physical inputs, not financial engineering and traders waiting for further confirmation may already be behind the move.

This is why Hard Assets may become the biggest beneficiaries of the SpaceX effect. Rockets, Satellites, AI Infrastructure, Defence Systems, Solar Arrays, Batteries and ground networks all require real-world materials. There is no software substitute for Copper Wiring, Lithium Batteries, Nickel-Bearing Alloys, Aluminium Structures, Silver Conductors or Rare-Earth Magnets.

“The most important market signal is already flashing,” says Hansen. “The Commodities required to build the next industrial economy are already breaking higher. SpaceX is not creating that trend from scratch – it is accelerating it.”

Orbital AI Could Be the Demand Shock Nobody Has Priced In

The most explosive upside case is orbital AI. If SpaceX moves from broadband satellites to space-based compute infrastructure, the Commodity implications widen dramatically.

AI is already straining power grids, Copper supply, Natural Gas, Uranium demand, transformers, cooling systems and battery storage.

Moving part of that compute stack into orbit does not remove Commodity demand. It creates another infrastructure layer requiring chips, solar arrays, Silver, Lithium batteries, thermal systems, launch vehicles, ground stations and advanced manufacturing capacity.

This is where SpaceX could become a genuine macro catalyst. It does not need to consume more Copper than China. It only needs to become the marginal buyer in markets already facing structural deficits.

“Supercycles begin when the market underestimates the next source of demand,” Hansen says. “Space-based AI could be one of the most mispriced Commodity demand shocks of the next decade.”

The Biggest Risk Now? Missing the Move

The strongest SpaceX-linked basket is clear: Copper, Aluminium, Nickel, Lithium, Silver, Rare Earths, Steel and Uranium.

Copper daily chart. Source: TradingView

Copper is the universal bottleneck, touching rockets, satellites, launch infrastructure, power systems, ground terminals, data centres, robotics and grid expansion. Lithium is the momentum leader, already surging 86% year-to-date. Silver benefits from solar arrays, chips and electronics. Nickel, Aluminium and Rare Earths underpin the structures, batteries, motors, sensors and defence systems required to industrialize orbit.

For traders and investors alike, the risk is no longer whether the Hard-Asset thesis is valid. The market is already confirming it. The greater risk is being under-positioned before the next leg higher begins.

Hansen’s warning is unequivocal:

“History rewards early positioning, not hesitation. We coined the phrase Year of Hard Assets because it defines the macro reality traders must now confront. Under-allocation could prove to be the most expensive mistake of the decade.”

As 2026 gathers momentum, one conclusion is becoming increasingly unavoidable: the Year of Hard Assets has arrived and those waiting for confirmation risk watching the next phase of wealth creation pass them by.

About the Author

Phil Carrcontributor

Phil Carr is co-founder and the Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading, Research and Data-Intelligence firm.

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