XRP investors are in for a bumpy 48 hours as two key events could fuel volatility. On Wednesday, July 30, the Presidential Working Group on Digital Asset Markets will release its first report, potentially supporting XRP as a US strategic reserve asset.
XRP could soar to record highs if the US government acquires XRP as part of a national crypto stockpile. US government purchases of XRP to build a stockpile would likely tilt the supply-demand balance firmly in XRP’s favor, triggering a price breakout.
On Thursday, July 31, the SEC will hold its weekly closed meeting and potentially vote to withdraw its appeal in the Ripple case. A vote in favor of dropping the appeal would end the case and potentially expedite the approval of XRP-spot ETFs.
A US government XRP stockpile and institutional demand through XRP-spot ETFs would likely send the token to unprecedented highs. However, silence on XRP becoming a strategic reserve asset and a further delay to the SEC vote could weigh on sentiment.
Meanwhile, Main Street utilization is another potential price catalyst.
On July 29, Senator Cynthia Lummis introduced the 21ST Century Mortgage Act. The bill would allow lenders to consider cryptocurrency as an asset for single-family loans delivered to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Senator Lummis stated:
“The American dream of homeownership is not a reality for many young people. This legislation embraces an innovative path to wealth-building, keeping in mind the growing number of young Americans who possess digital assets. We’re living in a digital age, and rather than punishing innovation, government agencies must evolve to meet the needs of a modern, forward-thinking generation.”
Tuesday’s bill followed news of PayPal (PYPL) introducing its Pay with Crypto feature, enabling users to remit crypto internationally with lower fees.
XRP rose 0.24% on Tuesday, July 29, partially reversing Monday’s 3.64% loss to close at $3.1298. The token outperformed the broader market, which dropped 0.24% to a total crypto market cap of $3.82 trillion.
XRP’s near-term price outlook hinges on several key catalysts, including:
A breakout above the July 28 high of $3.3302 could enable the bulls to target the $3.5 level. A sustained move above $3.5 may pave the way to the July 18 all-time high of $3.6606. Conversely, a drop below the $3 level may expose the $2.8 level.
Explore our full XRP forecast here for key breakout zones and timing insights.
While XRP advanced on hopes for an end to the Ripple case, bitcoin (BTC) fell further back from its record high of $122,055. Uncertainty about the Fed’s monetary policy outlook weighed on demand for risk assets, including BTC. The Nasdaq Composite Index snapped a four-day winning streak, while the S&P 500 ended a run of six consecutive daily gains.
A more hawkish Fed rate stance may raise borrowing costs, affecting corporate profits and share prices. Higher consumer lending rates could also dampen credit demand to purchase risk assets such as BTC.
The US BTC-spot ETF extended its inflow streak to four sessions on July 28, with total net inflows of $157.1 million. Strong demand for spot ETFs has bolstered BTC demand, cushioning any downside. However, outflows on July 29 could weigh on sentiment ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision and Fed Chair Powell’s press conference.
According to Farside Investors, key flows for July 29 included:
With BlackRock (BLK) iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) flow data pending, total US BTC-spot ETF outflows reached $83.4 million, potentially ending the four-day inflow streak.
BTC slipped 0.12% on Tuesday, July 29, following Monday’s 1.12% loss, closing at $117,925.
The near-term price outlook depends on several key factors. These include:
Potential scenarios:
Investors should continue to monitor the key drivers, which will likely determine whether XRP and BTC can hit new record highs. These include:
See where analysts expect XRP and BTC to head as legal and political risks evolve.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.