Zcash (ZEC) has gone up by nearly 8% today after bouncing strongly off a key resistance. Privacy tokens appear to have captured investors’ interest once again, setting the stage for a strong rally to $700.
At $558, ZEC has delivered gains of 69% in the past 30 days alone, making it the best-performing asset in the crypto market’s top 10.
Trading volumes continue to be high at nearly $700 million, currently accounting for 7.5% of the asset’s circulating market cap.
At a point when most cryptocurrencies are tanking, Zcash has managed to defy the market’s gravity with this recent bounce. The token encountered strong selling pressure at $630 earlier this month and quickly retreated to the $500 level.
In a previous Zcash price prediction, we emphasized that this was our key level to watch, as it is both psychologically and technically relevant.
We can see that short liquidations spiked as the token bounced off this market. A total of $10 million worth of shorts evaporated as a result of this move.
Geopolitical tensions are still at a high point, even though the U.S. delayed an expected strike on Iran. Oil prices reflect this, as they continue to stand above $100. Peace talks and negotiations are still going on between the two countries, but little progress has been made.
Investors were recently buoyed by the crypto market’s strong rally in the past few weeks. However, sentiment has soured once again. The Fear and Greed Index just dropped from a recent high of 62 (Greed) to 39 at the time of writing, indicating that market participants are once again fearful.
Data from Artemis shows that trading volumes spiked to their highest level since December last year at $7 billion, as the token rallied above $600. This move resembles the spike seen in October 2025, back when ZEC first rallied from $60 to $250.
From that point forward, the asset went on to deliver gains 137%. Even though last week’s volumes dropped to $4.6 billion, buyers’ interest in the token is clearly intense right now.
Meanwhile, on-chain data from ZecHub also shows a pattern that is similar to what we saw back in October – November when Zcash rallied near $700.
In this regard, the percentage of shielded transactions within the Zcash blockchain dropped to its lowest level since then at 10%, indicating that network activity is concentrated primarily on speculative asset transfers.
This discards the “privacy-centered” narrative and reflects traders’ appetite to jump on board at a point when ZEC is virtually the only crypto worth trading right now.
Heading to the daily chart, we can see that Zcash clearly started to recover right after hitting $500. This is an indication that a big volume of buy orders sat at that exact mark.
This highlights the strength of this support area and increases the odds of a sustained rally over the next few days, especially if we move past the $600 barrier again. In a market like this, where bears are still in control, blowing up key resistances is critical to trigger strong rallies.
This pullback was highly likely already, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hit extreme overbought levels at 87 earlier this month. Buyers probably took some chips off the table, and sellers took advantage of the situation to position for further downside.
However, this strong bounce off $500 indicates that buying pressure persists and late buyers appear to have entered the rally now. We already see an interesting trading opportunity in this higher time frame for swing traders.
Buying at $555 and setting a target at $700, this results in a 2.7x risk-reward ratio for a long position if the stop price is set below the $500 mark, which remains our key support to watch.
Yesterday, trading volumes rose above the 14-day moving average, indicating strong whale participation in the move. Hence, the stage looks set for the continuation of this uptrend toward that $700 target for what remains of the week.
In contrast, if we break below $500, the rally would have definitely lost steam, and we could expect a strong correction to $380.
Moving down to the 4-hour chart, we got a buy signal in this lower time frame right after ZEC touched the $500 support. This increases the odds of a rally in the near term as it means that the move was accompanied by institutional players.
Our signals system looks for a specific candle pattern and above-average volumes to identify “high-conviction” trading opportunities like these. When a buy signal occurs after the price of an asset hits a key support, it increases the odds of a positive outcome substantially.
In this lower time frame, we can define a much more advantageous entry and stop price for a potential trade. To make the most out of a rally to $700, traders would have to be patient and hope for a pullback to $530 for a late entry.
A strong bounce off this mark would provide both the opportunity to open a long position and confirmation of buyers’ persistent interest in the token. If we set the target at $700, that’s a 3.5x risk-reward ratio right there.
The RSI in this lower time frame remains in bullish territory at 58 and above the signal line. This is the lowest we go when we use this system as the most reliable action typically occurs in higher time frames like these.
Alejandro Arrieche specializes in drafting news articles that incorporate technical analysis for traders and possesses in-depth knowledge of value investing and fundamental analysis.