Gold Jumps to Highs Since 2013 at 1,440 and accumulates 10% gains in June

Gold jumped to fresh highs since May 2013 as dollar is trading weak. However, as market is fully priced on a Fed’s rate cut, the risk now is to the downside with any possible Dollar strength.
Mauricio Carrillo
Gold Jumps to Highs Since 2013 at 1,440 and accumulates 10% gains in June
Gold Jumps to Highs Since 2013 at 1,440 and accumulates 10% gains in June

Gold and copper are trading higher amid dollar weakness on speculations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Also, US Treasury yields and geopolitical factors are adding pressure to the greenback, lifting gold to fresh highs since May 2013.

Silver is down on the day as it was unable to extend gains above the 15.50 area while palladium and platinum are trading on consolidation.

Metal prices report for June 25

XAUUSD daily chart June 25

XAU/USD is trading higher on Tuesday as the metal is extending gains for the sixth day in a row. Gold is currently trading 0.67% positive on the day at 1,429.35 as the dollar index is trading slightly lower on the day.

On the month, gold is now 10% positive just in June to current high since May 2013 at 1,440.

The catalyst was obviously the speculations about a rate cut by the Fed in July. The market is already 100% priced in, but what if something signals the contrary with a metal that has gone too far too fast?

Silver is trading down on the day as the unit it contained by the 15.50 level. With 0.31% loses on the day, XAG/USD is currently trading at 15.40. Previously on the day, the pair attempted a break above the mentioned 15.50, but it was futile.

Copper accelerated on Tuesday as the mineral jumped to test the June 20 highs at 2.7333. Currently, it is trading 0.35% positive on the day at 2.7270. Technical indicators suggest a brief consolidation period and then more gains in the middle term. Above the mentioned 2.7333 level, next resistances are at the 50-day moving average at 2.7440, and the 200-day MA at 2.7630.

Palladium is performing a consolidation day after the recent rally that took the XPD/USD from 1,499 to 1,545 on Monday. Currently, the unit is trading 0.33% negative on the day at 1,530.

Technical studies are suggesting more gains in the middle term with resistances at 1,560, 1,600, and 1,615.

Platinum is flat on Tuesday as the pair attempted to go down beyond the 810.00 area, but it failed. It is now 0.05% positive on the day at 814.65. The unit remains inside a range between 790.00 and 820.00.

The market waits for Fed’s Powell

As the market is fully priced in on a fed’s rate cut in the FOMC meeting in July, investors are watching closely any interest rates related development, especially Fed’s officers speeches.

Today, Fed’s chairman Jerome Powell will be talking at the Council of Foreign Relations in the American afternoon. He would talk about the Fed’s outlook on the US economy and monetary policy.

So, the market is excited about what Powell would say and what he will hint regarding interest rate cuts and how that would affect US Treasury yields.

At the same time, experts are concerned about any commentary that could put a rate cut speculations on hold.

As FX Empire analyst James Hyerzcyk, said in a recent report, “the September 10-year US Treasury market is the one I am focusing on today since the world seems to think the Fed speakers will say something that could affect yields.”

According to Hyerzcyk, the risk for gold is to the downside. With a 100% rate cut priced in, what if a comment can put rates higher, then a strong dollar would send the gold, and other metals down.

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