Risk Aversion Hits as Iran Retaliates. Expect Little Influence from the Stats…

Attacks on bases across Iraq in the early hours drove demand for the safe havens. Stats are likely to be brushed aside throughout the day…
Bob Mason
WTI and Brent Crude Oil

Earlier in the Day:

It was a relatively quiet day on the Asian economic calendar in the earlier hours of this morning.

Key stats included November building approval figures out of Australia.

Outside of the stats, Iran retaliated to last week’s U.S airstrike, with news hitting the wires in the early hours of attacks on military bases in Iraq. With the bases holding U.S interests, the latest move suggests possible war as the U.S sends more troops to the region.

For Japanese Yen

While there were no material stats to provide direction, the news from overnight and early this morning drove demand for the Yen.

At the time of writing, the Japanese Yen was up by 0.69% to ¥107.69 against the greenback.

For the Aussie Dollar

Building approvals jumped by 11.8% in November, month-on-month, reversing an 8.1% slide in October. Economists had forecast a 2.1% increase.

The Aussie Dollar moved from $0.68530 to $0.68552 upon release of the figures, before pulling back. At the time of writing, the Aussie Dollar was down by 0.24% to $0.68529, with the risk-off sentiment weighing.


The Kiwi Dollar was down by 0.36% to $0.6619, with risk aversion weighing early in the day.

The Day Ahead:

For the EUR

It’s a relatively quiet day ahead on the economic calendar. Key stats include November factory order figures out of Germany and finalized business and consumer confidence figures for the Eurozone.

Following December’s dire manufacturing PMI out of Germany, the figures will need to impress to provide the EUR with support.

For the Eurozone, finalized business and consumer confidence figures should have a muted impact on the EUR, barring any revisions…

With stats on the lighter side, however, we expect the focus to remain on the Middle East as the situation deteriorates.

At the time of writing, the EUR was up by 0.09% to $1.1163.

For the Pound

It’s a relatively busy day ahead on the economic calendar. December house prices figures are due out later this morning along with 3rd quarter labor productivity numbers

We expect the Pound to brush aside the house price numbers, with the market reaction towards Iran’s moves and likely U.S response driving the majors.

3rd quarter labor productivity numbers may garner some interest though. With expectations of a pickup in economic activity in the wake of the General Election result, any downside would likely be limited, however.

At the time of writing, the Pound was down by 0.08% to $1.3115.

Across the Pond

It’s also a relatively busy day on the data front. Key stats include December’s ADP Nonfarm Employment Change numbers.

Forecasts are for a rebound from weak November figures. Sub-100k numbers would be Dollar negative.

Outside of the stats, geopolitics will continue to be the key driver, with the Middle East in focus…

The Dollar Spot Index rose up by 0.35% to 97.005 on Tuesday. At the time of writing, the Dollar Spot Index was down by 0.13% to 96.84.

For the Loonie

It’s a quiet day on the economic calendar, with no material stats due out to provide the Loonie with direction.

With Iran responding to the U.S drone strike from last week, oil prices took an early jump this morning providing support.

The Loonie was up by 0.03% to C$1.3000 against the U.S Dollar, at the time of writing.

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