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Vladimir Zernov
U.S. Stock Market

The Market Needs More Catalysts To Move Higher

S&P 500 futures are moving lower in premarket trading as traders wait for additional upside catalysts.

Today, the U.S. House of Representatives will vote on impeachment of U.S. President Donald Trump. If the House manages to impeach Trump for the second time, the vote will move to the Senate where Republicans still have majority.

While recent days have been turbulent on the political front, markets remained mostly calm. It remains to be seen whether investors will react to any impeachment news as President-elect Joe Biden will enter office on January 20, and a new chapter will begin.

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Crude Inventories Continue To Move Lower, Pushing Oil To New Highs

WTI oil made an attempt to settle above the $54 level after API Crude Oil Stock Change report indicated that crude inventories declined by 5.8 million barrels compared to analyst consensus which called for a decline of 2.7 million barrels.

Declining inventories and the recent Saudi Arabia’s decision to cut production by 1 million barrels per day (bpd) continue to serve as a major bullish catalyst for the oil market.

Not surprisingly, oil-related stocks have enjoyed solid gains at the beginning of this year and look ready to move closer to highs seen back in June 2020.

Inflation Reports Are Mostly In Line With Analyst Estimates

The U.S. has just provided Inflation Rate and Core Inflation Rate reports for December. Inflation Rate increased by 0.4% month-over-month, in line with analyst expectations.

On a year-over-year basis, Inflation Rate grew by 1.4% compared to analyst consensus which called for growth of 1.3%. Meanwhile, Core Inflation Rate grew by 1.6% year-over-year, in line with analyst estimates.

At this point, there are no signs of serious pressure on the pricing front. Traders’ attention has recently shifted to the U.S. government bond market as 10-year Treasury yields rallied from 0.92% to 1.18% in just six trading sessions before pulling back towards 1.13%.

It remains to be seen whether this rally will continue as Fed is unlikely to decrease its asset purchases at a time when the economy needs more stimulus and inflation remains under control. If yields remain at low levels, stocks may get an additional boost.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

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