AUD/USD is just under the 1 Fib level which denotes the last pivot high at around 0.71875. Once the Aussie can clear this, the next level to observe is around 0.72710. The Aussie is above both the short and medium term Supertrend levels, with the next level of major resistance above 0.72710 is 0.7407.
AUD/USD is attempting to get back above the 21-EMA on the daily chart. The RSI also flipped back above 50. It seems that the AUD/USD is looking to retest the 0.72775 pivot highs. This is a very positive sign for the FX Cross in the short to medium term.
Indeed, cross-asset flows are giving us more confirmation on returning Aussie strength. AUD/JPY’s Supertrend flipped positive with the RSI above 50 and pointing higher. The Z-Score SMA is trending higher. All good things to see for the Aussie. Expectations are for a retest for 114.725 resistance level.
There’s some consolidation on AUD/USD as it attempts to get back over its 50-SMA. The Supertrend is still positive with the RSI having crossed above 50 and the Z-Score SMA trending higher after it consolidated before turning positive. It seems as if the AUD/USD will get back above the 50-SMA and retest the 0.72775 resistance level on the Renko.
Resistance Levels: 0.72715, 0.74070
Medium Term Path: AUD/USD should keep moving higher once the daily 21-EMA and Renko support zone around 0.70800–0.71018 hold. A clean break above 0.71875 opens the door to 0.72713/0.72715. Above that, 0.74070 becomes the next macro target. Lose 0.70720, and the setup cools fast.
Cedric Thompson, CMT, CFA, is an investment strategist with experience in asset management, corporate strategy, and multi-asset investing.