Bitcoin technical indicators and the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index continue to send bullish signals. U.S inflation figures on Thursday could be key, however.
It was yet another bullish day for Bitcoin (BTC) on Tuesday, marking a 5th rise in 6-sessions. Following a 3.42% rally on Monday, Bitcoin rose by 0.50% to end the day at $44,080.
The upside came in spite of the broader crypto market seeing red on the day. Binance Coin (BNB) and Terra (LUNA) slid by 5.83% and by 4.05%, with Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) seeing losses of 1.83% and 3.46% respectively. Ethereum (ETH) saw a more modest 0.71% loss on the day.
Joining Bitcoin in the green, however, was Ripple (XRP), which rallied by 5.06%. News updates on the SEC v Ripple case continued to support an XRP rebound from a current year low $0.5500. XRP ended the Tuesday at $0.8747 down from a day high $0.9139.
While news updates supported XRP, it was a day of recoupling for Bitcoin and the NASDAQ 100. On Tuesday, the NASDAQ 100 rose by 1.28%, reversing a modest 0.58% loss from Monday. The upside delivered Bitcoin with support.
The 5th daily gain from 6 sessions continued to drive the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index northwards, delivering Bitcoin another bullish signal.
After moving out of the fear zone on Monday, the Index rose from 48/100 to 54/100 this morning. For the Bitcoin bulls, the index continues to edge its way to the “greed” zone. Last month, we had considered a move to 30/100 as a buying signal and this month a move through to 50/100 supportive of a Bitcoin return to $50,000 levels.
While on an upward trend since a January low 10/100, the index continues to fall well short of 9th November’s high $84/100. This had preceded Bitcoin’s ATH $68,979 on 11th November.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down by 0.03% to $44,068. A move back through the day’s $44,089 pivot would support a run at the first major resistance level at $45,475 and Tuesday’s high $45,484. Bitcoin would need plenty of support to break back through to $45,000 levels. In the event of an extended rally, Bitcoin could test resistance at $47,000 before any pullback. The second major resistance level sits at $46,869.
Failure to move back through the pivot would bring the first major support level at $42,695 into play. Barring an extended sell-off, Bitcoin should steer well clear of the second major support level at $41,309.
Looking at the EMAs and 4-hourly candlesticks (below), the signal continues to become more bullish. The 50-day EMA has pulled away from 100-day EMA after Sunday’s bullish cross. The 50-day EMA has also crossed through the 200-day EMA. The bullish cross of the 50-day through the 200-day EMA should bring $50,000 levels into play.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.