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Tomasz Wiśniewski
Gold, Crude Oil, USD/JPY

In today’s analysis, we will focus on commodities: Gold and Oil. In the previous months, Gold was climbing has been mostly moving higher and oil has been declining. Despite the most recent rise in the price of Brent and a small decline in the price of gold, we think that we are about to see a comeback to the dominant trend. In both cases, gold has a nice bullish signal and oil is drawing rather bearish pattern.

First, lest start with Brent Oil, where its price has doubled since the end of April. In the last two weeks, the upswing stopped and the price is creating a head and shoulders pattern. The price is creating the right shoulder of the pattern. The main up trendline was already broken but the neckline is still intact. In this case, the price breaking the neckline can be a nice selling opportunity.

The second instrument is Gold, where the price is currently breaking the upper line of the flag formation. The flag was a correction in the bullish trend, so it promotes another wave up. The real, legitimate buy signal will be triggered, when the price will break the horizontal resistance at 1735 USD/oz.

The last instrument is not a commodity but the USDJPY pair which is definitely worth mentioning. This Friday is crucial for this pair as the price has managed to escape from the recent sideways trend. Sellers broke two up trendlines and the lower line of the rectangle pattern. Currently, we are testing this last support as a resistance. The test so far is positive for sellers, which may indicate a willingness for a further slide. Sentiment here is negative.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

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