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Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis September 17, 2014 Forecast

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 24, 2015, 18:00 GMT+00:00

Analysis and Recommendations: Crude Oil is down 18 cents finding a new low at 91.81 as Brent oil also continues to fall. Brent Oil is trading at 97.81 as

Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis September 17, 2014 Forecast
Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis September 17, 2014 Forecast
Crude & Brent Oil Fundamental Analysis September 17, 2014 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil is down 18 cents finding a new low at 91.81 as Brent oil also continues to fall. Brent Oil is trading at 97.81 as the reduction in global growth by the OECD reduced implied demand. Prices were little changed, having earlier lost as much as 0.4 percent in New York. U.S. crude inventories probably shrank by 1.5 million barrels last week to 357.1 million, according to a Bloomberg News survey before data from the Energy Information Administration tomorrow. Federal Reserve officials meet to review policy from today.

Brent crude oil was slightly weaker, staying under $98 a barrel on Tuesday, pressured by weak economic data from the world’s biggest energy consumers which pointed to weak demand growth at a time of strong supply.

Growing supply from Libya, where output has increased to nearly 1 million barrels per day, has coincided with weaker-than-expected economic data from China and the United States.

Crude stocks were predicted to have fallen 1.8 million barrels on average last week, according to a preliminary Reuter’s survey of six analysts conducted ahead of weekly inventory reports from industry group American Petroleum Institute (API) and the US Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration (EIA).

Russia is also expected to cut exports of seaborne Russian Urals and ESPO crude oil blends by 6.2 per cent to 50.17 million tonnes in the last three months of the year from t ..

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

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Today’s economic releases actual vs. forecast:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

  AUD

 

Monetary Policy Minutes

 

 

 

 

  JPY

 

BoJ Governor Kuroda 

 

 

 

 

  GBP

 

CPI (MoM)

0.4%

0.4%

-0.3%

 

  GBP

 

PPI Input (MoM)

-0.6%

-0.4%

-1.7%

 

  CAD

 

Manufacturing Sales (MoM)

 

1.0%

0.6%

 

  USD

 

PPI (MoM)

 

0.1%

0.1%

 

 

Crude Oil(60 minutes)20140916133628

Upcoming Economic Events that you should be monitoring:

Cur.

 

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

  NZD

 

Current Account (QoQ)

 

-0.95B

1.41B

 

  GBP

 

Average Earnings Index

 

0.5%

-0.2%

 

  GBP

 

BoE MPC vote cut

 

0

0

 

  GBP

 

Claimant Count Change

 

-30.0K

-33.6K

 

  GBP

 

Unemployment Rate

 

6.3%

6.4%

 

  EUR

 

CPI (MoM)

 

0.1%

-0.7%

 

  USD

 

Core CPI (MoM)

 

0.2%

0.1%

 

  USD

 

CPI (MoM)

 

0.1%

0.1%

 

  USD

 

FOMC Statement  

 

 

 

 

  USD

 

Fed Chair Yellen

 

     

Government Bond Auction

Date Time Country 

Sep 17 09:03 Sweden Bond auction

Sep 17 09:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Sep 2016 Schatz auction

Sep 18 08:30 Spain Bono/Obligacion auction

Sep 18 09:30 Ireland T-bill auction

Sep 18 15:00 US Announces details of 2/5/7Y

Sep 18 17:00 US 10Y TIPS auction

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